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Chattanooga vs Middle Tennessee Prediction 3/18/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Middle Tennessee (22-11) vs Chattanooga (24-9)

March 18, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Middle Tennessee -2.5 — Over/Under: 152.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Chattanooga Mocs and the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders meet Tuesday in NIT college basketball action from Murphy Center. Here’s a Chattanooga vs Middle Tennessee prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Chattanooga vs Middle Tennessee pick. We will examine: 

The Chattanooga Mocs recent form and player performance

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders recent form and player performance 

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Chattanooga Mocs

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Recent betting trends in games played between Chattanooga and Middle Tennessee

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Chattanooga vs Middle Tennessee game

Chattanooga Mocs Betting Preview

The Mocs had a great run going in the regular season but it ultimately ended in disappointment. Chattanooga went a spotty 9-7 over their first 16 games despite a couple of pretty solid win streaks. After wins over VMI, Wofford and Furman, the Mocs would fall to Samford. That would be the last defeat for a while, as Chattanooga took out East Tennessee State, Western Carolina, Mercer, Wofford, Furman, Samford, East Tennessee State, Western Carolina, the Citadel, UNC Greensboro, VMI and Mercer from there. The Mocs fell to Furman in tournament action though, giving the team a 24-9 overall run through 33 games. 

In the SoCon Tournament matchup with Furman, the Mocs fought their way to overtime but eventually took the loss 80-77 after a valiant effort. Chattanooga’s leading scorer was Honor Huff with 28 points and two rebounds, while Bash Wieland added 16 points with eight boards. Trey Bonham put up 14 points with five rebounds and a pair of steals as well. 

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Betting Preview

Over on the MTSU side, they posted a solid record this year as well—without any extended win streaks. The Blue Raiders were 10-5 in early January thanks to losses versus Murray State, Bradley, Belmont, Tennessee and Liberty. After wins over Kennesaw State, Jacksonville State, Western Kentucky and Sam Houston, the Raiders lost to LA Tech, New Mexico State and Jacksonville State in the next four. The regular season ended on a 7-3 stretch with losses to only Jacksonville State, Louisiana Tech and Liberty. After a double-overtime tournament win over Louisiana Tech, the Raiders fell to Jacksonville State in game two. That gives Middle Tennessee a 22-11 record on the year. 

Matched up against Jacksonville State back on Friday, the Raiders entered the second half with a 35-35 tie. Middle Tennessee was outscored 35-33 the rest of the way though, falling in a tough outcome 70-68. Jlynn Counter topped the team with 18 points, eight boards and four assists. Jestin Porter added 13 points with two rebounds and two assists in 35 minutes of work as well, and Essam Mostafa had 12 points with four rebounds. 

Why the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will win

  • Middle Tennessee has won 17 of its last 21 games at Charles M. Murphy Athletic Center.
  • Chattanooga has lost each of its last three night games after coming off overtime.
  • Chattanooga has lost the first half in seven of its last nine night games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Chattanooga Mocs will win

  • Chattanooga has won each of its last eight road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Middle Tennessee has lost each of its last four games against the Southern Conference.
  • Chattanooga has won the first half in each of its last four road night games against the Conference USA.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Middle Tennessee’s last 11 night games against non-Conference opponents at Charles M. Murphy Athletic Center have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
  • Seven of Chattanooga’s last eight games against the Conference USA Conference have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Chattanooga ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (16.8).
  • Chattanooga ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (56.4%).

Chattanooga vs Middle Tennessee Prediction 

I’ll lean toward Chattanooga here. That said, we should have a pretty good matchup on our hands. The Mocs didn’t play terribly versus Furman in their SoCon Semifinal loss, but they did give up 47.4 percent shooting with a 37-34 rebounding deficit and 10 turnovers. Chattanooga shot 43.8 percent from the field themselves and went a nice 10-of-12 (83.3 percent) from the line. That gives the Mocs 71 or more points in 13 straight games—a 12-1 run overall. 

As for Middle Tennessee, they played a tight game in the semifinal of the CUSA Tournament versus Jacksonville State. The only major disparity in that one was the Raiders’ 36-27 rebounding deficit—not to mention the 9-of-17 (52.9 percent) from the line. Middle Tennessee played a couple of very tight games in the conference tournament, and this one is shaping up to be another competitive outing. I like Chattanooga to eke one out in the end, but you could make a case either way. 

Andrew Jett's Pick: Chattanooga Mocs +2.5

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