| MATCHUP | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 9-15 | 14-9 |
| Spread | +5.5 -108 | -5.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | +215 | -265 |
| Total | Over 169.5 (-105) | Under 169.5 (-115) |
| Where | University Credit Union Center, Davis, CA | |
| When | Saturday, February 7, 2026 | |
| Time | 05:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
UC Davis Aggies Preview
The UC Davis Aggies have a 14-9 overall record and a 7-5 record in the Big West. They are coming off an 85-75 home win against UC Santa Barbara and their previous three games were an 80-72 road win against Cal State Bakersfield, a 94-78 road loss against Cal State Northridge and a 74-66 home win against UC Riverside.
Offensively, UC Davis averages 79.8 points per game, while allowing 76.1 points per game defensively. The Aggies shoot with 46% from the field and grab 33.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.3 assists per game. They average 2.7 blocks per game and 7.8 steals per game defensively.
Connor Sevilla leads UC Davis in scoring, with an average of 13.6 points per game, while shooting with 44.4% from the field and 88.9% from the free throw line. Niko Rocak is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.2 per game. Brayden Fagbemi leads the team in assists with 4.3 per game.
Cal Poly Mustangs Preview
The Cal Poly Mustangs have a 9-15 overall record and a 5-7 record in the Big West. They are coming off a 97-96 home loss against Cal State Northridge and their previous three games were a 94-87 road win against UC Riverside, a 104-79 road win against Cal State Bakersfield and a 93-78 home loss against Cal State Fullerton.
Offensively, Cal Poly averages 82.1 points per game, while allowing 86.8 points per game defensively. The Mustangs shoot with 44% from the field and grab 37.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.4 assists per game. They average 2.1 blocks per game and 6.7 steals per game defensively.
Hamad Mousa leads Cal Poly in scoring, with an average of 21.2 points per game, while shooting with 45.5% from the field and 86.5% from the free throw line, and is also the team’s leading rebounder with 5.9 per game. Peter Bandelj leads the team in assists with 3.4 per game.
Cal Poly Mustangs @ UC Davis Aggies Betting Trends: February 7, 2026
Why the UC Davis Aggies will win
- Cal Poly has lost each of its last 11 games at University Credit Union Center.
- UC Davis has won 11 of its last 12 day games against Cal Poly.
- UC Davis has won the first half in seven of its last eight games.
Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win
- The road team has won each of Cal Poly’s last four games.
- UC Davis has lost three of its last four games following a home win.
- The road team has won the first half in seven of Cal Poly’s last eight games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of UC Davis’ last 43 games at University Credit Union Center have produced a total of 170 or fewer points.
- Ten of Cal Poly’s last 11 road games have produced a total of 172+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- UC Davis ranks 42nd among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.5).
- UC Davis ranks 42nd among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (18.1).
- Cal Poly ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (16.0).
- Cal Poly ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for pace this season (75.6).
Cal Poly vs UC Davis Prediction
In this Cal Poly vs UC Davis Prediction, UC Davis is coming as -6.5 home favorites. UC Davis has been the better team this season and are 5-2 in their last 7 games. On the other hand, Cal Poly has been struggling lately, as they are 3-6 in their last 9 games but have scored 94+ points in each of their last three games. UC Davis has scored 82.5 points per game in its last two, so I expect a high-scoring affair between two red-hot offenses today. Take the over 170 points in this one.