Cal Poly vs Colorado State Prediction 11/12/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Cal Poly vs Colorado State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, November 12th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Colorado State Rams Preview

Colorado State has a 2-0 record this season. They are 2-0 ATS, 2-0 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and a 0-0 away record. Colorado State is coming off a 97-74 home win against Omaha and will face Loyola (IL), Denver and Virginia Tech next.

Offensively, Colorado State averages 97.5 points per game, which ranks 35th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 69.0 points per game (147th). The Rams shoot with 57.4% from the field (6th), and with 44.4% from beyond the arc (24th). They shoot with 87.3% from the free throw line (7th), and grab 43 rebounds per game (90th), while dishing out 19.5 assists per game (47th) and committing 10.5 turnovers per game (84th).

Kyle Jorgensen leads Colorado State in scoring, with an average of 20 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists. Josh Pascarelli follows with 16.5 points per game, while Brandon Rechsteiner adds 13.5 points and 3.5 assists per game.

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

Cal Poly has a 2-1 record this season. They are 1-1 ATS, 0-2 in Over/Under and have a 1-0 home record and a 1-1 away record. Cal Poly is coming off a 73-71 away win against Seattle and will face Montana, Utah and Northern Arizona next.

Offensively, Cal Poly averages 79.3 points per game, which ranks 201st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 81.3 points per game (287th). The Mustangs shoot with 39.7% from the field (313th), and with 29.7% from beyond the arc (254th). They shoot with 72.5% from the free throw line (147th), and grab 42.7 rebounds per game (98th), while dishing out 14.7 assists per game (202nd) and committing 18 turnovers per game (346th).

Hamad Mousa leads Cal Poly in scoring, with an average of 17.7 points and 8.3 rebounds. Cayden Ward follows with 15 points and 5 rebounds per game, while Peter Bandelj adds 14 points and 4 assists per game.

Cal Poly Mustangs @ Colorado State Rams Betting Trends: November 12, 2025

Why the Colorado State Rams will win

• Colorado State has won each of its last 12 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Cal Poly has lost the first half in each of its last 11 games against the Mountain West Conference.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

• Colorado State has lost four of its last five games against the Big West Conference.
• Cal Poly has won seven of its last nine games.
• Cal Poly has won the first half in four of its last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Colorado State’s last 11 night games at Moby Arena have produced a total of 162 or fewer points.
• Seventy-one of Cal Poly’s last 77 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 164 or fewer points.

Cal Poly vs Colorado State Prediction

In this Cal Poly vs Colorado State Prediction, Colorado State is coming as -18.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off wins in their previous matches, with Colorado State having won both of their games played and having the 35th-best offense in the country, winning by an average of 28.5 points per game. On the flip side, Cal Poly might have a 2-1 record, but they have a negative point differential, as they allow 81.3 points per game. The value here lies with the home team, so take Colorado State and lay the points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Colorado State -18.5