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BYU vs Alabama Prediction 3/27/25 College Basketball Picks
Pick details
Alabama (27-8) vs BYU (26-9)
March 27, 2025 at 07:09 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Alabama -5.5 — Over/Under:
The BYU Cougars and Alabama Crimson Tide meet Thursday in the college basketball Sweet 16 at the Prudential Center. Here’s a BYU vs Alabama Prediction. This article will include a BYU vs Alabama Pick.
BYU Cougars Betting Preview
The BYU Cougars are coming off wins over VCU and Wisconsin. BYU has won 11 of its last 12 games.
The BYU Cougars are averaging 81.4 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 70.1 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Richie Saunders is averaging 16.3 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Egor Demin is averaging 10.5 points and 5.4 assists. Trevin Knell is grabbing 2.3 rebounds and Fousseyni Traore is dishing 1.3 assists. The BYU Cougars are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 69.4 percent from the free throw line. The BYU Cougars are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.6 rebounds per game.
Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview
The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming off wins over Robert Morris and Saint Mary’s. Alabama has won six of its last nine games.
The Alabama Crimson Tide are averaging 91.1 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 81.4 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Mark Sears is averaging 18.6 points and 3 rebounds, while Grant Nelson is averaging 11.7 points and 1.6 assists. Latrell Wrightsell Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aden Holloway is grabbing 1.9 rebounds. The Alabama Crimson Tide are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 71.6 percent from the free throw line. The Alabama Crimson Tide are allowing 30.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.3 rebounds per game.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won 15 of its last 16 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- BYU has lost 16 of its last 19 night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
- BYU has lost the first half in 17 of its last 22 night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
Why the BYU Cougars will win
- BYU has won 11 of its last 12 games.
- Alabama has lost four of its last five games against the Big 12 Conference at neutral venues.
- Alabama has lost the first half in six of its last seven games against the Big 12 Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Sixty-nine of BYU’s last 72 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 173 or fewer points.
- Each of Alabama’s last four NCAA Tournament games have produced a total of 171 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Alabama ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (68.4).
- Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for pace this season (75.4).
- BYU ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (17.2).
- BYU ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (60.1%).
BYU vs Alabama Injury Report
Kanon Catchings is questionable for BYU with a knee injury. Alabama will continue to be without Latrell Wrightsell Jr. and Houston Mallette.
BYU vs Alabama Prediction
Alabama is the more talented team and more battle-tested, so it’s going to be favored. However, this has the feeling of being a high-scoring scoring back and forth game that should be decided in the final five minutes. Alabama was the top-scoring team in the country this season but its pace produced a defense that was 356th in scoring allowed. BYU has more balance to its attack and that includes an offense that’s 25th in scoring and top-20 in field goal percentage. I don’t see either team getting many stops. I’ll take a shot with BYU and the points, as this feels like a game where the team with the ball last wins. This will be entertaining from start to finish. Give me BYU and the points.
