Buffalo vs UMBC Prediction 12/9/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Buffalo vs UMBC prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, December 9th at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Buffalo Bulls Betting Preview

The Buffalo Bulls are 8-1 this season after they lost to St. Bonaventure by a score of 77-69 in their last game. Buffalo trailed 38-32 at halftime, but did play a little better in the second half in the loss. The Bulls shot 54% from the field, 38% on three pointers, and 64% on free throws in the game. Ryan Sabol led Buffalo with 21 points and two assists, while Daniel Freitag added 17 points and seven assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Buffalo defeated Canisius by a score of 71-53 and Bucknell by a score of 73-71. The Bulls have scored 77.7 points per game with 30.7 rebounds and 12.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 70.3 points against per game this season. Daniel Freitag is averaging 19.8 points and 4.2 rebounds per game, while Ryan Sabol is averaging 15.6 points and 2.9 assists per game for the Bulls. Buffalo is shooting 46.8% from the field, 74.1% on free throws, and 38.2% on three pointers this season. 

UMBC Retrievers Betting Preview

The UMBC Retrievers are 6-3 this year after they defeated Bucknell by a score of 73-66 in their last game. UMBC trailed 26-25 at halftime, but they scored 48 points in the second half for the win. The Retrievers shot 52% from the field, 39% on three pointers, and 80% on free throws in the game. Jah’Likai King led UMBC with 20 points and two rebounds, while Josh Odunowo added 12 points and seven rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, UMBC lost to Georgetown by a score of 90-81, but did beat Delaware State by a score of 71-57 before that. The Retrievers have scored 75.1 points per game with 37.1 rebounds and 14.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 70.3 points against per game this season. Jah’Likai King is averaging 14.3 points and 5.1 rebounds per game, while DJ Armstrong Jr is averaging 11.7 points and 2.9 assists per game for the Retrievers. UMBC is shooting 46.8% from the field, 71.2% on free throws, and 35.2% on three pointers this year. 

Why the UMBC Retrievers will win

• UMBC has won each of its last five day games at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena following a road win.
• Buffalo has lost 12 of its last 15 day games against non-Conference opponents.
• Buffalo has lost the first half in each of its last three games against the America East Conference.

Why the Buffalo Bulls will win

• Buffalo has won eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Twelve of UMBC’s last 15 games at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena have produced a total of 148+ points.
• Each of Buffalo’s last three games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.

Buffalo vs UMBC Prediction 

Buffalo comes into this matchup after having their winning streak snapped last time out against the Bonnies, but they are 2-0 on the road this year. The Bulls are shooting 47% from the field, but they are averaging just 30.7 rebounds per game. UMBC has won three of their last four games, but they have allowed 90 and 89 to Georgetown and George Washington in recent losses. I think these two teams are pretty evenly matched, so I will back UMBC at home. Take the Retrievers to get a close win here.

David Racey's Pick: UMBC ML