| MATCHUP | Bowling Green Falcons | Toledo Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 18-13 | 17-14 |
| Spread | +1.5 -118 | -1.5 -102 |
| Moneyline | -105 | -115 |
| Total | Over 152.5 (-105) | Under 152.5 (-115) |
| Where | Legacy Arena at BJCC, Birmingham, AL | |
| When | Thursday, March 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
In this article, we will formulate a Bowling Green vs Toledo Prediction for this MAC Tournament matchup on Thursday, March 12th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Toledo Rockets Preview
The Toledo Rockets have a 17-14 overall record and an 11-7 record in the MAC conference. They are coming off a 99-78 home win against Buffalo and their previous three games were a 74-72 road loss against Miami (OH), a 79-67 road win against Ohio and a 79-69 home win against Northern Illinois.
Offensively, Toledo averages 81.5 points per game, while allowing 76.8 points per game defensively. The Rockets shoot with 49% from the field and grab 34.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.1 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 7.7 steals per game defensively.
Sonny Wilson leads Toledo in scoring, with an average of 17.4 points per game, while shooting with 50% from the field and 71.2% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.5 assists. Sean Craig is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.3 per game.
Bowling Green Falcons Preview
The Bowling Green Falcons have an 18-13 overall record and a 9-9 record in the MAC conference. They are coming off a 77-69 road win against Eastern Michigan and their previous three games were an 81-62 home win against Massachusetts, an 88-79 home loss against Western Michigan and a 91-77 road loss against Miami (OH).
Offensively, Bowling Green averages 81.5 points per game, while allowing 71.4 points per game defensively. The Falcons shoot with 47% from the field and grab 36.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.2 assists per game. They average 3.6 blocks per game and 9.8 steals per game defensively.
Javontae Campbell leads Bowling Green in scoring, with an average of 18.8 points per game, while shooting with 49.6% from the field and 76.1% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.1 assists. Sam Towns is the team’s leading rebounder with 7.3 per game.
Bowling Green Falcons @ Toledo Rockets Betting Trends: March 12, 2026
Why the Toledo Rockets will win
- Toledo has won each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Bowling Green has lost four of its last five games at Rocket Arena.
- Bowling Green has lost the first half in each of its last five games.
Why the Bowling Green Falcons will win
- Bowling Green has won five of its last six day games against Conference opponents.
- Toledo has lost three of its last four games at Rocket Arena.
- Toledo has lost the first half in five of its last six games played at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Bowling Green’s last 10 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
- Five of Toledo’s last six games at Rocket Arena have produced a total of 157+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Toledo ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (10.9).
- Toledo ranks T20th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (15.6).
- Bowling Green ranks T4th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.8).
- Bowling Green ranks T17th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.8).
Bowling Green vs Toledo Prediction
In this Bowling Green vs Toledo Prediction, Toledo is coming as -1 favorites. Both teams have similar overall records this season but Toledo has been better against the spread. They have been in good form lately with a 4-1 record in their last 5 games, while Bowling Green has back-to-back wins following a three-game losing streak. Both teams split wins in their two regular season meetings but both games went under the total and both teams are a combined 35-22 to the under this season. Take the under 151.5 points in this one.