San Diego State (16-6) vs Boise State (17-7)
February 15, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: San Diego State -1.5 — Over/Under: 135.5
The Boise State Broncos are visiting the San Diego State Aztecs on Saturday, February 15th at the Viejas Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction. We will examine:
The San Diego State Aztecs’ recent form and player performance
The Boise State Broncos’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego State Aztecs
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boise State Broncos
Recent betting trends in games played between the Boise State Broncos and San Diego State Aztecs
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs game
San Diego State Aztecs Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs have a 16-6 record this season and are sitting in third place in the Mountain West. San Diego State is coming off a 69-66 win over San Jose State. The Aztecs are 8-13 against the spread, and 9-11-1 in over/under, while having an 8-3 home record.
Offensively, San Diego State is averaging 71.1 points per game, which ranks 267th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 63.3 points per game, which is the 12th-best in the nation. The Aztecs shoot 43.2% from the field (265th) and 33.2% from beyond the arc (230th). The Aztecs shoot 68.2% from the free-throw line (296th) and are grabbing 37.2 rebounds per game (91st).
Myles Bird leads San Diego State in scoring with an average of 13.3 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Nick Boyd adds 12 points, 4 rebounds, and a team-high 3.7 assists per game.
Boise State Broncos Preview
The Boise State Broncos have a 17-7 record this season and are sitting in 5th place in the Mountain West. Boise State is coming off a 79-52 win over San Jose State. The Broncos are 12-11 against the spread, and 12-11 in over/under while having a 3-4 road record
Offensively, Boise State is averaging 77.2 points per game, which ranks 97th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 65.8 points per game (38th). The Broncos shoot 47.7% from the field (48th) and 32.3% from beyond the arc (280th). The Broncos shoot 77.3% from the free-throw line (26th) and are grabbing 36.8 rebounds per game (116th).
Tyson Degenhart leads Boise State in scoring, with an average of 17.8 points and 6 rebounds, while Alvaro Cardenas adds 12 points, 3.1 rebounds, and a team-high 6.8 assists per game.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won 24 of its last 25 night games at Viejas Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Boise State has lost six of its last eight games at Viejas Arena.
- San Diego State has won the first half in 38 of its last 43 games against the Mountain West Conference at Viejas Arena.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won each of its last four games.
- Boise State has won the first half in each of its last four games against the Mountain West Conference.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Diego State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (37.0%).
- San Diego State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (20.5).
- Boise State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (28.4).
- Boise State ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (56.4%).
Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction
Boise State is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against San Diego State and is 5-3-1 against the spread. Under is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings, and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, San Diego State won 76-68 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.
In this Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, San Diego State is coming as a -1.5 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical records this season, but the Aztecs have been very strong at home, while the Broncos are below average on the road. The Aztecs are in good form lately, with a 5-1 record in their last 6 games, but are just 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games. On the other hand, Boise State is 4-0 in their last 4 games and 4-0 against the spread, so I like them as road dogs in this situation. Take the Boise State Broncos and lay the points on the road.