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Boise State vs Air Force Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks

Pick details

Air Force (4-25) vs Boise State (21-8)

March 4, 2025 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Air Force +15.5 — Over/Under: 135.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Boise State Broncos are visiting the Air Force Falcons on Tuesday, March 4th at the Clune Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boise State Broncos vs Air Force Falcons Prediction. We will examine:

The Air Force Falcons’ recent form and player performance

The Boise State Broncos’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Air Force Falcons

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boise State Broncos

Recent betting trends in games played between the Boise State Broncos and Air Force Falcons

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Boise State Broncos vs Air Force Falcons game

Air Force Falcons Preview

The Air Force Falcons have a 4-25 record this season and are sitting in 11th place in the Mountain West. The Falcons are coming off a 55-77 loss to Colorado State. The Falcons are 10-19 against the spread, and 17-12 in over/under, while having a 3-12 home record.

Offensively, Air Force is averaging 62.7 points per game, which is just 359th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73.2 points per game (217th). The Falcons shoot 42.5% from the field (309th) and 33.7% from beyond the arc (209th). The Falcons shoot 64% from the free-throw line, which is just 357th in the nation, and are grabbing 30 rebounds per game (356th).

Ethan Taylor leads Air Force in scoring with an average of 13.9 points, adding team-highs both in rebounding with 5.5 and in assists made with 3.5 per game.

Boise State Broncos Preview

The Boise State Broncos have a 20-8 record this season and are sitting in 5th place in the Mountain West. Boise State is coming off a 66-61 win over Fresno State. The Broncos are 15-13 against the spread, and 14-14 in over/under, while having a 5-5 road record.

Offensively, Boise State is averaging 76 points per game, which ranks 120th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 66.1 points per game (33rd). The Broncos shoot 46.9% from the field (72nd) and 32.1% from beyond the arc (288th). The Broncos shoot 77.4% from the free-throw line (28th) and are grabbing 36.4 rebounds per game (116th).

Tyson Degenhart leads Boise State in scoring, with an average of 18.1 points and 6.1 rebounds, while Andrew Meadow adds 12.2 points and 4.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

  • The home team has won four of Air Force’s last five games.
  • Boise State has lost four of its last five road night games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • The home team has won the first half in nine of Boise State’s last 12 games.

Why the Boise State Broncos will win

  • Air Force has lost each of its last 16 night games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • Boise State has won each of its last nine games against Air Force.
  • Air Force has lost the first half in each of its last eight night games at Clune Arena.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Air Force’s last four night games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 134 or fewer points.
  • Twenty-four of Boise State’s last 32 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 136+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Air Force ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (21.5).
  • Air Force ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (50.6).
  • Boise State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (28.5).
  • Boise State ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (56.1%).

Boise State Broncos vs Air Force Falcons Prediction

Boise State is 9-0 in their last 9 meetings against Air Force, but Air Force is 5-4-1 against the spread in their last 10 meetings. Over/under is 6-4 in their last 10 meetings, and in their most recent meeting earlier this season, Boise State won 77-59 at home, not covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this Boise State Broncos vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, Boise State is coming as -15.5 road favorites. Boise State is rightfully favored, as they have a superior record this season, but they are mediocre on the road. the Falcons are 1-9 in their last 10 games and are 0-5 against the spread in their last 5 home games. The Broncos on the other hand are 8-1 in their last 9 games and 7-2 against the spread. The Broncos are huge favorites and for a reason. Expect them to blow Air Force out of the water, so lay the points with Boise in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Boise State Broncos -15.5

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