| MATCHUP | Baylor Bears | Texas Longhorns |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Spread | +6.5 -115 | -6.5 -105 |
| Moneyline | +185 | -225 |
| Total | Over 160.5 (-110) | Under 160.5 (-110) |
| Where | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX | |
| When | Sunday, November 15, 2026 | |
| Time | 03:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN | |
The Baylor Bears and the Texas Longhorns will meet Saturday afternoon in a marquee non-conference college basketball matchup at the Moody Center in Austin, Texas. Let’s take a look at this game from a betting perspective.
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns Prediction
In my view, this matchup favors the Texas Longhorns to cover the number (4.5). Why? Both teams enter this contest with matching undefeated at 3-0 win-loss records, but Texas has been slightly more impressive on both ends of the floor through the opening week of the season.
The Longhorns have recorded victories over Chicago State, Gardner-Webb, and Grambling while averaging 100 points per game which ranks eighth in the nation Defensively, Texas is allowing opponents just 57 points per contest, the 11th best mark in the country.
The Baylor Bears enter this game averaging 95.3 points per contest, which ranks 16th nationally, while allowing opponents 59.7 points per game which ranks 26th in the country. The Bears have looked sharp, but the team’s wins over Northwestern State, Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Yale are comparable, if not slightly weaker, than the schedule that Texas has faced.
The statistical profiles are remarkably similar, but Texas owns an edge on both ends of the floor and has a significant edge in home court advantage. When two talented teams are this closely matched, I tend to side with the team playing at home. For the reasons just noted, I am backing the Texas Longhorns plus the 4.5 points in this game.
Baylor Bears Betting Preview
The Baylor Bears enter Saturday afternoon’s contest with a perfect 3-0 overall record (3-0 home record, 0-0 mark on the road). The Bears have defeated Northwestern State, Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Yale to begin the season.
Through three games played this season, the Baylor Bears are averaging 95.3 points per game, which ranks 16th nationally, while allowing just 59.7 points per contest, which ranks 26th nationally. What did we learn from the data just presented? Baylor’s offense has been electric throughout the opening week of the 2026 regular season. Additionally, the Baylor Bears have been one of the nation’s most efficient teams defensively.
Sophomore guard Kayden Mingo has been a key contributor for the Baylor Bears in 2026, averaging 15 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.3 assists on 50 percent shooting from the field per game.
Texas Longhorns Betting Preview
The Texas Longhorns enter Saturday night’s matchup with an undefeated 3-0 overall record (3-0 mark at home, 0-0 road record). The Longhorns have amassed victories over Chicago State, Gardner-Webb, and Grambling.
How has Texas performed from a team data perspective? In three games played this season, the Texas Longhorns are averaging a whopping 100 points per game which ranks eighth in the country, while allowing only 57 points per contest, ranking 11th nationally. Texas has displayed elite balance through the opening week and has been slightly better than Baylor statistically on both ends of the floor.
Looking ahead, the Longhorns have upcoming games scheduled with Southern Utah, Georgetown, Southern Indiana and Louisville.
Why Baylor Bears Will Win
• Elite offense. The Baylor Bears are averaging 95.3 points per game which ranks 16th in the country.
• Defensive consistency. The Bears are allowing only opponents just 59.7 points per contest (26th in nation).
• Undefeated start. Baylor enters this contest on the heels of a three-game winning streak.
• Quality guard play. Sophomore guard Kayden Mingo has averaged 15 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.3 assists on 50 percent shooting from the field per game.
Why Texas Longhorns Will Win
• Nation’s eighth-ranked scoring offense. Texas is averaging 100 points per game.
• Defensive edge. The Longhorns are allowing only 57.0 points per contest.
• Home-court advantage. Texas is 3-0 at the Moody Center.
• Undefeated start. The Longhorns have opened the season 3-0.
• Statistical advantage. Texas owns slight edges in both scoring offense and scoring defense.