Baylor vs San Diego State Prediction 11/26/2025 Today’s College Basketball Picks

The Baylor Bears and the San Diego State Aztecs meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Michelob Ultra Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baylor Bears vs. San Diego State Aztecs prediction.

Baylor Bears Recap

The Baylor Bears come into this game looking to bounce back from a 96-81 loss at the hands of St. John’s last time out to fall to 4-1 on the year. 

Baylor Looking To Shake Off First L

Going into Tuesday’s game against St. John’s, Cameron Carr leads Baylor in scoring with 23.7 PPG along with 4.3 RPG and Tounde Yessoufou has 16.3 PPG with 5 RPG while Dan Skillings Jr. has 13.3 PPG with a team-high 6 RPG along with 3 APG to lead the Bears in rebounding. Obi Agbim has 10.7 PPG with a team-high 5.7 APG to lead the Bears in assists and Isaac Williams IV has 10 PPG with 3 APG as well this season to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Baylor. Michael Rataj has 7.3 PPG with 5 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Baylor is averaging 89.3 PPG on 51.1% shooting from the field, 35.9% from three and 71.6% from the foul line so far this season.

San Diego State Aztecs Recap

The San Diego State Aztecs come into this game looking to build on their 97-80 win over Oregon last time out to sit at 3-2 this season

Aztecs Snap Two-Game Slide

Going into Tuesday’s matchup with the Ducks, Magoon Gwath has 13.5 PPG with 4.5 RPG while Reese Dixon-Waters has 12 PPG with 5 RPG and Miles Byrd has 11.5 PPG with 3.3 RPG and a team-high 3 APG to lead the Aztecs in assists so far this season. Elzie Harrington has 10 PPG with 2.3 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for San Diego State so far this season. BJ Davis has 8.8 PPG and Jeremiah Oden’s added 8 PPG while Miles Heide has a team-high 6.8 RPG to lead the Aztecs on the glass so far this season. As a team, San Diego State is averaging 77.8 PPG on 43.5% shooting from the field, 38.4% from three and 73.7% from the foul line so far this season.

Baylor Bears @ San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends: November 26, 2025

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

• San Diego State has won each of its last 13 Wednesday night games.
• San Diego State has won the first half in each of its last nine Wednesday night games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• Baylor has won each of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• San Diego State has lost four of its last five games against the Big 12 Conference.
• Baylor has won the first half in each of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Fifty-three of San Diego State’s last 56 games have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
• Fifteen of Baylor’s last 16 Wednesday night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• San Diego State ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage this season (40.4%).
• San Diego State ranks T44th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.2).
• Baylor ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (14.4).
• Baylor ranks T38th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (11.2).

Baylor Bears vs. San Diego State Aztecs Prediction

I’m on Baylor here. The Bears were picked apart by St. John’s on Tuesday, but I think they bounce back here against an Aztecs team that’s normally sharp defensively, but has allowed a combined 174 points through the first two games of this tournament. Baylor’s defense is no peach either, but I think Baylor has the more sustainable offense after the Aztecs had a historical night shooting against Oregon. Give me Baylor in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Baylor -2.5