Baylor vs Cincinnati Prediction 1/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

In this article we will formulate a Baylor vs Cincinnati prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, January 28th at Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears are 11-8 (1-6) this season after they lost to TCU by a score of 97-90 in their last game. Baylor was tied at 38 at halftime, but they allowed 59 points in the second half for the loss. The Bears shot 50% from the field, 31% on three pointers, and 72% on free throws in the game. Tounde Yessoufou led Baylor with 21 points and eight rebounds, while Isaac Williams IV added 21 points and four rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Baylor lost to Texas Tech by a score of 92-73 and Kansas by a score of 80-62. The Bears have scored 86.5 points per game with 39.5 rebounds and 16.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 77.0 points against per game this season. Cameron Carr is averaging 20.4 points and 5.3 rebounds per game, while Tounde Yessoufou is averaging 17.7 points and 5.9 rebounds per game for the Bears. Baylor is shooting 48.9% from the field, 72.0% on free throws, and 36.2% on three pointers this season. 

Cincinnati Bearcats Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 10-10 (2-5) this year after they lost to Arizona State by a score of 82-68 in their last game. Cincinnati trailed 37-33 at halftime and they allowed 45 points in the second half in the loss. The Bearcats shot 45% from the field, 24% on three pointers, and 67% on free throws in the game. Baba Miller led Cincinnati with 23 points and nine rebounds, while Moustapha Thiam added 15 points and six rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Cincinnati lost to Arizona by a score of 77-51, but did beat Iowa State by a score of 79-70 before that. The Bearcats have scored 72.6 points per game with 37.7 rebounds and 16.9 assists per game, while they have allowed 67.5 points against per game this season. Baba Miller is averaging 13.8 points and 10.4 rebounds per game, while Day Day Thomas is averaging 11.4 points and 3.8 assists per game for the Bearcats. Cincinnati is shooting 42.3% from the field, 65.7% on free throws, and 30.0% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Cincinnati Bearcats will win

• Cincinnati has won 37 of its last 41 night games at Fifth Third Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Baylor has lost seven of its last eight games against the Big 12 Conference.
• Baylor has lost the first half in four of its last five night games against the Big 12 Conference.

Why the Baylor Bears will win

• The road team has won five of Baylor’s last six games.
• Cincinnati has lost four of its last five night games against the Big 12 Conference.
• Cincinnati has lost the first half in three of its last four night games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Baylor’s last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 147+ points.
• Six of Cincinnati’s last seven night games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Baylor vs Cincinnati Prediction 

Baylor comes into this matchup with a 1-6 record in Big 12 play and they have allowed 92+ points in back to back games. The Bears are shooting 49% from the field, but their defense is really hurting them. Cincinnati has split their last four games, but they are just 2-5 in conference play. The Bearcats are shooting 42% from the field, but they are 2-0 in their last two home games. I don’t love the Cincinnati offense, but I can’t back this Baylor defense. Take the Bearcats at home.

David Racey's Pick: Cincinnati -4.5