| MATCHUP | Austin Peay Governors | Bellarmine Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 21-7 | 11-18 |
| Spread | -4.5 -110 | +4.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | -198 | +164 |
| Total | Over 156.5 (-108) | Under 156.5 (-112) |
| Where | Knights Hall, Louisville, KY | |
| When | Saturday, February 28, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Bellarmine Knights Preview
The Bellarmine Knights have an 11-18 overall record and a 6-11 record in the ASUN. They are coming off a 95-92 home loss against Eastern Kentucky and their previous three games were a 75-72 home loss against Lipscomb, a 90-70 road loss against Austin Peay and an 84-76 road loss against Central Arkansas.
Offensively, Bellarmine averages 79.1 points per game, while allowing 81.1 points per game defensively. The Knights shoot with 52% from the field and grab 27.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.9 assists per game. They average 1.6 blocks per game and 6.2 steals per game defensively.
Jack Karasinski leads Bellarmine in scoring, with an average of 20.7 points per game, while shooting with 54.9% from the field and 80.6% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.8 rebounds. Tyler Doyle leads the team in assists with 3.6 per game.
Austin Peay Governors Preview
The Austin Peay Governors have a 21-7 overall record and a 15-2 record in the ASUN. They are coming off a 93-88 home loss against Central Arkansas and their previous three games were a 65-61 road win against Jacksonville, a 77-76 road win against North Florida and a 90-70 home win against Bellarmine.
Offensively, Austin Peay averages 81.5 points per game, while allowing 71.7 points per game defensively. The Governors shoot with 47% from the field and grab 35.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.2 assists per game. They average 2.5 blocks per game and 9.6 steals per game defensively.
Camren Parker leads Austin Peay in scoring, with an average of 18.1 points per game, while shooting with 48.5% from the field and 83.2% from the free throw line. Tariq Marshall is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.6 per game. Zyion Collins leads the team in assists with 4.3 per game.
Austin Peay Governors @ Bellarmine Knights Betting Trends: February 28, 2026
Why the Bellarmine Knights will win
- The home team has won each of the last four games between Austin Peay and Bellarmine.
- Austin Peay has lost nine of its last 12 road day games against Conference opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in each of the last four games between Austin Peay and Bellarmine.
Why the Austin Peay Governors will win
- Austin Peay has won each of its last nine day games against Conference opponents.
- Bellarmine has lost each of its last six day games following a road loss.
- Austin Peay has won the first half in each of its last nine Saturday games against Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eleven of Bellarmine’s last 12 home day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
- Eighteen of Austin Peay’s last 24 day games have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Bellarmine ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (27.7).
- Bellarmine ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (39.4%).
- Austin Peay ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.6).
- Austin Peay ranks 35th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (14.2).
Austin Peay vs Bellarmine Prediction
In this Austin Peay vs Bellarmine Prediction, Austin Peay is coming as -4.5 road favorites. Austin Peay has been the better team this season and have been scorching-hot with ten consecutive wins. On the flip side, Bellarmine has been struggling with five consecutive losses while having an inferior defense, allowing 9.4 points per game more than Austin Peay, so I the value here lies with the road favorite. Take Austin Peay and lay the points on the road.