| MATCHUP | Auburn Tigers | Mississippi State Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 14-11 | 12-13 |
| Spread | -5.5 -108 | +5.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | -245 | +200 |
| Total | Over 155.5 (-112) | Under 155.5 (-108) |
| Where | Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS | |
| When | Wednesday, February 18, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN2 | |
The Auburn Tigers and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Humphrey Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction.
Auburn Tigers Recap
The Auburn Tigers come into this game looking to shake off an 88-75 loss at the hands of Arkansas last time out to sit at 14-11 this season. After this game, Auburn will head home for a game against Kentucky.
Tigers Lose 4 In A Row
Keyshawn Hall leads the Tigers in scoring and rebounding with 20.7 PPG and 6.8 RPG along with 2.7 APG while Kevin Overton has 12.2 PPG with 3.3 RPG and Tahaad Pettiford has 14.7 PPG with a team-high 3.6 APG to lead the Tigers in assists. KeShawn Murphy has 11 PPG with 7 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers up to this point in the year and Elyjah Freeman has 9.2 PPG with 4.8 RPG as well this season. As a team, Auburn is averaging 84 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 33% from three and 74.2% from the foul line this season.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Recap
The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to build on their 90-78 win over Ole Miss last time out to improve to 4-8 on the year. After this game, Mississippi State will head on the road for a game against South Carolina.
Bulldogs Snap Three-Game Slide
Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State in scoring and assists with 21.4 PPG and 3.6 APG along with 2.3 RPG while Jayden Epps has 14.3 PPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. Ja’Borri McGhee has 8.1 PPG with 2.4 RPG and Quincy Ballard’s also chipped in 6.2 PPG and 6.2 RPG while Achor Achor has 5.9 PPG and a team-high 6.6 RPG to lead the Bulldogs on the glass. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 77.4 PPG on 44.7% shooting from the field, 31.3% from three and 67.7% from the foul line this season.
Auburn Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Trends: February 18, 2026
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Auburn has lost each of its last four games.
- Mississippi State has won 18 of its last 22 games at Humphrey Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Auburn has lost the first half in each of its last four night games.
Why the Auburn Tigers will win
- Auburn has won 36 of its last 40 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Mississippi State has lost each of its last five home games.
- Auburn has won the first half in 35 of its last 40 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last eight games between Auburn and Mississippi State have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
- Each of Auburn’s last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Humphrey Coliseum have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Mississippi State ranks 357th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (64.7).
- Mississippi State ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (39.8).
- Auburn ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (20.6).
- Auburn ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (27.7).
Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction
I’m on Auburn here. I just don’t have any faith in Mississippi State long term, and I think last game was more about getting revenge in a rivalry game more than anything else. Auburn’s the better team here and are starting to get healthy once again, and I think the Tigers snag the win and cover at home in this one. Give me Auburn here.