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Arkansas vs Florida Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

Feb 25, 2026; Austin, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns guard Jordan Pope (0) shoots a three point basket against Florida Gators forward Thomas Haugh (10) during the second half at Moody Center. Mandatory Credit: Dustin Safranek-Imagn Images

Feb 25, 2026; Austin, Texas, USA; Texas Longhorns guard Jordan Pope (0) shoots a three point basket against Florida Gators forward Thomas Haugh (10) during the second half at Moody Center. Mandatory Credit: Dustin Safranek-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Arkansas Razorbacks Florida Gators
Team Records 21-7 22-6
Where Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville, FL
When Saturday, February 28, 2026
Time 08:30 PM EST
TV ESPN

The Arkansas Razorbacks and the Florida Gators will meet on Saturday night in an SEC matchup at Exactech Arena in Gainesville, Florida.

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks enter Saturday evening’s contest with a 21–7 overall win–loss record, including an 11–4 mark in conference play and a 4-4 record on the road. The Razorbacks have compiled recent wins over Missouri, Auburn, LSU, Mississippi State and the Texas A&M Aggies, while dropping games to Alabama, Kentucky and the Georgia Bulldogs.

The Arkansas Razorbacks average 90.3 points (2nd in nation) on 50.5 percent shooting from the field and 37.5 percent shooting from three-point range (27th in country) per game. Turning our attention to the defensive side of the basketball, the Razorbacks are allowing opponents 78.5 points per contest.    

Freshman guard Darius Acuff Jr. leads the Arkansas Razorbacks averaging 22.2 points, 3.1 rebounds, 6.2 assists on 49.9 percent shooting from the field per game, while senior forward Trevon Brazile contributes 12.7 points, 7.1 rebounds, 1.7 assists, 1.6 steals and 1.5 blocks per contest providing the Razorbacks with a strong interior presence.

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators enter Saturday’s game with a 22–6 overall record, including a 13–2 mark in conference play and a 12-1 record at home. The Gators have amassed wins over Miami, Florida State, North Florida, Merrimack and the Georgia Bulldogs while dropping games Arizona, Missouri and the Duke Blue Devils.

Three days ago, in the Florida Gators 84-71 win over the Texas Longhorns, Florida forward Alex Condon compiled 23 points (10 of 12 shooting from the field), 4 rebounds, 3 assists and 4 blocks showcasing his ability to lead the Gators frontcourt. 

Florida is averaging 86.3 points (16th in country) on 47.6 percent shooting from the field (40th in nation) and 30.1 percent shooting from beyond the arc per game. Defensively, the Gators are allowing opponents 71.2 points per contest.

Sophomore guard Boogie Fland is averaging 11.1 points, 2.5 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 2 steals per game. Junior forward Thomas Haugh contributes 17.3 points, 6.2 rebounds, 2.1 assists and 1 steal a contest. Junior center Rueben Chinyelu provides the Gators with further frontcourt depth averaging 11.5 points, 11.8 rebounds and 1 block per contest, while senior guard Xaivian Lee is averaging with 11.3 points, 3.7 rebounds, 3.9 assists and 1.1 steals per game.

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks Will Win

• Offensive firepower: The Arkansas Razorbacks average 90.3 points per game which ranks second in the country.

• Guard play. Freshman guard Darius Acuff Jr. leads the Arkansas Razorbacks averaging 22.2 points, 3.1 rebounds, 6.2 assists on 49.9 percent shooting from the field per game.

• Ability to win on the road. The Razorbacks have amassed a 4-4 record on the road this season.

Why the Florida Gators Will Win

• Defensive edge: The Florida Gators are allowing opponents 71.2 points per game. Conversely, the Arkansas Razorbacks are allowing opponents 78.5 points per contest.

• Balanced scoring: The Gators have six players scoring over 10 points a game.

• Momentum. The Florida Gators arrive at tomorrow’s contest on an eight-game winning streak.

• Home court edge. The Florida Gators have amassed a 12-1 record at home in 2025.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gators Prediction

This matchup features the Arkansas Razorbacks explosive offense and quality guard play against a Florida team that has been dominant at home and highly efficient on both ends of the floor. The Razorbacks elite offense gives the Razorbacks a clear path to stay victory, but the Gators home court advantage, defensive edge and current form (8-game winning streak) make the Gators the side to be on in this matchup. With that said, I am backing the Florida Gators to cover the 10.5 points in this game.

Hans Geevers's Pick: Florida -10.5

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