Arizona State vs Kansas State Prediction 3/11/25 College Basketball Picks

The Arizona State Sun Devils and Kansas State Wildcats meet on Tuesday in college basketball action at T-Mobile Center. Here’s an Arizona State vs Kansas State prediction. This article will include an Arizona State vs Kansas State Pick.

Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview

The Arizona State Sun Devils (13-18, 16-15 ATS) have been disastrous in the New Year. Even though they opened it with a win over Colorado on January 5, the Sun Devils managed to get just three more until the end of the regular season. Arizona State defeated Kansas State on the road and then concluded the season with four consecutive defeats to BYU, Utah, Arizona, and Texas Tech. Arizona State finished just one spot above the last-placed Colorado in the Big 12 Standings.

Arizona State averages 74.2 PPG (180th) and allows 76.6 PPG (308th). The Sun Devils are 275th in rebounds (34.1) and 275th in assists (12.9). BJ Freeman leads the team with 13.7 PPG, 3.9 RPG, and 2.6 APG. Alston Mason follows him with 13.4 PPG, 2.6 RPG, and a team-high 4.0 APG, while Basheer Jihad chips in 12.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG, and 1.1 SPG. 

Kansas State Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kansas State Wildcats (15-16, 17-14 ATS) experienced their best period of the season from late January to mid-February when they recorded six consecutive wins. They did endure a four-game losing skid after but closed out the regular season with two wins in the final three games. The Wildcats beat Colorado and Cincinnati and lost to Iowa State. Kansas State entered the Big 12 tournament as the No. 10 seed.

Kansas State is averaging 71.5 PPG (268th) and is allowing 69.4 PPG (100th). The Wildcats are getting 34.0 RPG (295th) and dish out 15.9 APG (58th). David N’Guessan is the team’s top performer with 13.3 PPG and a team-high 7.2 RPG. Dug McDaniel has 11.3 PPG, 2.6 RPG, a team-high 4.9 APG, and 1.7 SPG, while Brendan Hausen contributes 11.2 PPG and 2.5 RPG.

Why Arizona State will beat Kansas State

• Arizona State has won five of its last six games played at neutral venues.
• Kansas State has lost four of its last five games against the Big 12 Conference at neutral venues.

Why Kansas State will beat Arizona State

• Arizona State has lost each of its last seven night games against the Big 12 Conference.
• Kansas State has won 11 of its last 12 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Kansas State has won the first half in seven of its last nine night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Arizona State’s last four games against the Big 12 Conference at neutral venues have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
• Nine of Kansas State’s last 11 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at T-Mobile Center have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.

Arizona State vs Kansas State Prediction

Each team secured a road win in two H2H duels this season and neither game produced more than 141 points. I am not sure who will get a win on Tuesday and progress to the second round of the conference tourney, but I think we’re not going to have a classic shootout, that’s for sure. Kansas State has a solid defense but its offense has been struggling of late, failing to score more than 69 points in six of the last seven games. Arizona State’s defense is porous, but I don’t think the Sun Devils will suddenly allow 80+ to the Wildcats. Kansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of its last 34 games, while the Wildcats have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games. I am backing Under in this one.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Under 142.5