Arizona State vs Iowa State Prediction 3/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Mar 7, 2026; Ames, Iowa, USA; Iowa State Cyclones forward Joshua Jefferson (5) goes to the basket as Arizona State Sun Devils forward Andrija Grbovic (14) defends during the first half at James H. Hilton Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Arizona State Sun Devils
Iowa State Cyclones
Team Records
17-15
25-6
Spread
+11.5 -105
-11.5 -115
Moneyline
+575
-850
Total
Over 148.5 (-105)
Under 148.5 (-115)
Where
T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO
When
Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Time
12:30 PM EDT
TV
ESPN
The Arizona State Sun Devils and the Iowa State Cyclones meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the T-Mobile Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Iowa State Cyclones prediction.
Arizona State Sun Devils Recap
The Arizona State Sun Devils come into this game off of the 83-79 win over Baylor last time out.
Sun Devils Looking For Huge Upset In Revenge Spot
Maurice Odum leads the Sun Devils in scoring and assists with 17 PPG and 6.2 APG along with 3 RPG while Anthony Johnson has 13.3 PPG with 3 RPG and Massamba Diop has 13.6 PPG with 5.8 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Arizona State so far this season. Bryce Ford has 7.8 PPG while Santiago Trouet has 7.7 PPG with 5.5 RPG to lead the Sun Devils in rebounding this season. As a team, Arizona State is averaging 78.8 PPG on 45.3% shooting from the field, 34.5% from three and 74.2% from the foul line this season.
Iowa State Cyclones Recap
The Iowa State Cyclones come into this game as the 5-seed, finishing the year at 25-6 overall and 12-6 in conference play.
Cyclones Looking To Knock Off ASU Again
Joshua Jefferson leads the Cyclones with 18.1 PPG, 7.1 RPG and 5 APG while Milan Momcilovic has 17.9 PPG with 3.2 RPG and Tamin Lipsey has 14.2 PPG with 3.8 RPG and 6 APG along with 2.6 SPG. Killyan Toure has 11 PPG with 3.2 RPG and 2.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Iowa State so far this season. Blake Buchanan has 9.9 PPG with 6.7 RPG as well this season. As a team, Iowa State is averaging 90.4 PPG on 53.2% shooting from the field, 41% from three and 68.9% from the foul line this season.
Arizona State Sun Devils @ Iowa State Cyclones Betting Trends: March 11, 2026
Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win
Arizona State has lost each of its last 14 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
Iowa State has won each of its last 11 Wednesday games.
Iowa State has won the first half in each of its last eight games as an AP-ranked team at T-Mobile Center.
Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win
Arizona State has won five of its last six games played at neutral venues.
Arizona State has won the first half in seven of its last eight games.
Total Points Facts
Each of Arizona State’s last seven games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 156+ points.
Six of Iowa State’s last seven day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 149+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
Iowa State ranks T7th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+16.0).
Iowa State ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+23.7).
Arizona State ranks T30th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.7).
Arizona State ranks 46th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (17.5).
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Iowa State Cyclones Prediction
I’m on Iowa State here. I think the Cyclones are just the far better team in this matchup, and we just saw ASU get drilled by Iowa State less than a week ago. I know that result is fresh on Arizona State’s mind and they’re playing for their tournament lives while Iowa State’s pretty much playing for seeding here, but I think Iowa State still nabs them and gets the win and cover here.
