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Albany vs Vermont Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks

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Vermont (19-11) vs Albany (16-14)

March 4, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Vermont -5.5 — Over/Under: 132.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Albany vs Vermont Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday, March 4th, at the Patrick Gym. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Great Danes’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Catamounts’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Albany

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Vermont

-Recent betting trends in games played between Albany and Vermont

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Great Danes and Catamounts. 

Albany Has Confidence 

Albany has a ton of confidence right now, and they have won two games in a row. Two games ago against UMBC, Albany secured a 78-74 victory, and in the last game against NJIT, Albany secured an 86-59 victory. At halftime, they were up 50-32, and in the second half, the success continued. Byron Joshua had a strong game, putting up 17 points, but he wasn’t the only one with five players putting up at least 10 points. Three games ago against New Hampshire, the offense only scored 60 points, and they will need the defense to be much better. 

Albany has a 16-14 record overall, and they have gone 12-16 against the spread. Away from home, they have been better at sitting at 8-6. Albany is averaging 74.8 points, while their defense is giving up 74.3 points per game. As a team, they are averaging 61.7 field goal attempts per game, which is the 44th most in all of college basketball. Byron Joshua is averaging 14.3 points while shooting 41 percent from the field and 31.7 percent from behind the three-point line. Four players are averaging at least 10 points, and it will need to be a balanced attack again here. If they can only lean on one or two guys, this is going to be a long season.

Vermont is on Fire

Vermont is on fire heading into this game and they have won eight games in a row. Two games ago against NJIT, they won 71-61, and in the last game against UMBC, it was much of the same as they picked up the 79-69 victory. TJ Hurley couldn’t be stopped and put up 23 points, six rebounds, and two assists. In the second half, the defense also stepped up, and they are going to need even better defense here. 

Vermont has a winning record sitting at 19-11, but away from home, they have gone only 12-16 against the spread. At home, straight up, they have gone 9-2. Vermont wants to keep the pace slower, and the defense has been the strength, giving up only 64 points per game, which is 15th in all of college basketball. TJ Hurley has been the top player, averaging 15.8 points while shooting 42.5 percent from the field and 38.3 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Vermont Will Beat Albany

  • Vermont has won each of its last 23 home night games against the America East Conference.
  • UAlbany has lost 10 of its last 11 games at Roy L. Patrick Gymnasium against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • UAlbany has lost the first half in each of its last six night games at Roy L. Patrick Gymnasium against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Albany vs Vermont Prediction

Not only has Vermont won the last nine games against Albany, but they have covered three of the last four spreads against them. Albany can score, but their defense has been an issue, and they are going to have some major problems playing defense again here. Vermont averages only 67.1 points per game, but against bad defenses, they can run up the score. In the last game against UMBC, they scored 79 points and will have no issue with the offense again. Don’t take the average points as a sign of a bad offense that is more about the pace. Back Vermont against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Vermont -5.5

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