Alabama vs Auburn Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks

The Alabama Crimson Tide and the Auburn Tigers meet Saturday in college basketball action from Auburn Arena. Here’s an Alabama vs Auburn prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Alabama vs Auburn pick. We will examine: 

The Alabama Crimson Tide’s recent form and player performance

The Auburn Tigers’ recent form and player performance 

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alabama Crimson Tide

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Auburn Tigers

Recent betting trends in games played between Alabama and Auburn

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Alabama vs Auburn game

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

Record-wise, Alabama was looking great back in mid-February but there have been some bumps in the road since then. The Tide lost to only Purdue and Oregon over their first eight games this year, then hit a winning streak from December 4 to January 14 when they took their third loss of the season versus Ole Miss. Alabama recovered with wins over Kentucky, Vanderbilt, LSU, Mississippi State, Georgia, Arkansas, and Texas, but they’ve beaten only Kentucky and Mississippi State since then. Otherwise, it’s been losses to Auburn, Missouri, Tennessee, and Florida in that six-game stretch. That gives Alabama a 23-7 overall record through the first 30 games of the 2024-25 campaign. 

In the Florida matchup at home on Wednesday, the Tide exited the first half with a 41-40 deficit. Alabama didn’t end up getting any closer on a 58-54 run from there and took the eventual loss 99-94 in the end. Tops in scoring during the defeat was Mark Sears with 30 points, six rebounds, and five assists. Labaron Philon added 19 points with five rebounds and four assists, while Clifford Omoruyi chipped in 11 points with seven boards and two assists. 

Auburn Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the Tigers’ side, it’s been a great season so far with only a few scattered losses in the books. Auburn won their first seven games before falling to Duke, then took out Richmond, Ohio State, Georgia State, Purdue, Monmouth, Missouri, Texas, South Carolina, Mississippi State, Georgia, Tennessee, LSU, Ole Miss, and Oklahoma from there. After a loss to Florida, Auburn beat Vanderbilt, Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Ole Miss, and Kentucky ahead of another loss to Texas A&M. Auburn is now 27-3 on the year after 30 games so far. 

Matched up against Texas A&M on Tuesday, the Tigers went into the second half with a 40-34 deficit. Auburn was outscored 43-38 from there and took the road defeat 83-72. Tops in scoring was Tahaad Pettiford with 19 points, two rebounds and two assists in 35 minutes. Chad Baker-Mazara added 15 points with five assists, two blocks and three rebounds. Miles Kelly also finished in double-digits with 12 points, four assists, five steals and three rebounds. 

Why the Auburn Tigers will win

• Auburn has won 12 of its last 13 day games.
• Alabama has lost each of its last four games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

• Alabama has won 13 of its last 14 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• Auburn has lost six of its last eight day games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Auburn’s last 15 day games against Conference opponents at Neville Arena have produced a total of 171 or fewer points.
• Six of Alabama’s last seven games have produced a total of 179+ points.

Alabama vs Auburn Prediction 

I’m going to stay with Auburn. The Tigers took an upset loss to a very physical Texas A&M squad in their last game despite hitting 50 percent from the field, 40.9 percent (9-of-22) from outside, and 86.7 percent (13-of-15) from the line. Auburn gave up 43.1 percent on the other side and got blasted on the boards 41-25 (24-9 offensive) alongside 13 turnovers for 18 Aggies points. It certainly wasn’t the Tigers’ best effort, but the 72 points wasn’t a bad total, all things considered. 

Back on February 15 when these teams last met, Auburn powered out a 94-85 road victory. The Tigers got out-rebounded in that one as well 49-40 but offset it with 46.2 percent shooting from the field and just four turnovers. Auburn needs to reassert themselves in this rematch with clean shooting and few mistakes. I like the Tigers to bounce back with a victory/cover in this home game. 

Andrew Jett's Pick: Auburn Tigers -7.5