Alabama State vs Southern Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks

The Alabama State Hornets are visiting the Southern Jaguars on Thursday, March 6th at the F.G. Clark Activity Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Alabama State Hornets vs Southern Jaguars Prediction. We will examine:

The Southern Jaguars’ recent form and player performance

The Alabama State Hornets’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Southern Jaguars

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alabama State Hornets

Recent betting trends in games played between the Alabama State Hornets and Southern Jaguars

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Alabama State Hornets vs Southern Jaguars game

Southern Jaguars Preview

The Southern Jaguars have a 19-10 record this season and are sitting in first place in the SWAC. Southern is coming off a 73-70 win over Florida A&M. The Jaguars are 12-14 against the spread, and 12-14 in over/under while having a 10-0 home record.

Offensively, Southern is averaging 75.7 points per game, which ranks 127th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.8 points per game (85th). The Jaguars shoot 44% from the field (225th) and 32.8% from beyond the arc (256th). The Jaguars shoot 66% from the free-throw line (344th) and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game (93rd).

Michael Jacobs leads Southern in scoring with an average of 10.7 points and a team-high 3 assists per game, while Jordan Johnson adds 9.6 points per game.

Alabama State Hornets Preview

The Alabama State Hornets have a 14-15 record this season and are sitting in 5th place in the SWAC. Alabama State is coming off a 94-52 win over Alabama A&M. The Hornets are 10-16-2 against the spread, and 11-16-1 in over/under while having a 4-10 road record. 

Offensively, Alabama State is averaging 74.6 points per game, which is 159th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 74 points per game (247th). The Hornets shoot 41% from the field (345th) and 32.7% from beyond the arc (260th). The Hornets shoot 69.1% from the free-throw line (283rd) and are grabbing 36 rebounds per game (141st).

Ammar Knox leads Alabama State in scoring with an average of 15.3 points, while CJ Hines adds 14.6 points and 3.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Southern Jaguars will win

• Southern has won each of its last 11 games at F.G. Clark Activity Center.
• Alabama State has lost each of its last six games at F.G. Clark Activity Center.
• Alabama State has lost the first half in each of its last nine games at F.G. Clark Activity Center.

Why the Alabama State Hornets will win

• Alabama State has won five of its last six games.
• Alabama State has won the first half in each of its last five night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Alabama State’s last six road games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
• Seven of the last eight games between Alabama State and Southern at F.G. Clark Activity Center have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Southern ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (4.6).
• Southern ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.8).
• Alabama State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.2%).
• Alabama State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.1).

Alabama State Hornets vs Southern Jaguars Prediction

Southern is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against Alabama State, and are 3-1 against the spread. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Alabama State won 82-81 at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this Alabama State Hornets vs Southern Jaguars Prediction, Southern is coming as -7.5 home favorites. Southern is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and have been perfect in their 10 home games, while Alabama State is below average on the road. Southern is 8-2 in their last 10 games, but they having trouble covering games, as they are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 overall games and 1-3 against the spread in their last 4 home games. On the other hand, Alabama State is 5-1 in their last 6 games and has covered their last two road games, so I expect them to keep this game somewhat close. The value here lies with the road dog, so take the Alabama State Hornets and the plus points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Alabama State Hornets +7.5