Alabama State vs Jackson State Prediction 3/15/25 College Basketball Picks

The Alabama State Hornets are facing the Jackson State Tigers on Saturday, March 15th at the Gateway Center Arena, in the Final Game of the SWAC conference. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Alabama State Hornets vs Jackson State Tigers Prediction. We will examine:

The Jackson State Tigers recent form and player performance

The Alabama State Hornets recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Jackson State Tigers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alabama State Hornets

Recent betting trends in games played between the Alabama State Hornetsand Jackson State Tigers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Alabama State Hornets vs Jackson State Tigers game

Jackson State Tigers Preview

The Jackson State Tigers have a 16-17 record this season and were placed 2nd in the SWAC. Jackson State is coming off a 71-50 win over Bethune-Cookman in the semifinals yesterday. The Tigers are 20-13 against the spread, and 17-15-1 in over/under.

Offensively, Jackson State is averaging 71.9 points per game, which ranks 259th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 75 points per game (289th). The Tigers shoot with 42.4% from the field (328th), and with 32.7% from beyond the arc (307th). The Tigers shoot with 73% from the free-throw line (166th), and are grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game (138th).

Daeshun Ruffin leads Jackson State in scoring, with an average of 27 points, 5.5 rebounds and 5 assists, while Shannon Grant adds 13.5 points and a team-high 12 rebounds per game. 

Alabama State Hornets Preview

The Alabama State Hornets have a 18-15 record this season and were placed 5th in the SWAC. Alabama State is coming off a 64-62 win over Grambling in the semifinals yesterday. The Hornets are 13-17-2 against the spread, and 12-19-1 in over/under. 

Offensively, Alabama State is averaging 73.8 points per game, which is 186th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.7 points per game (209th). The Hornets shoot with 40.7% from the field (349th), and with 33.1% from beyond the arc (254th). The Hornets shoot with 69.3% from the free-throw line (271st), and are grabbing 32.4 rebounds per game (176th).

CJ Hines leads Alabama State in scoring with an average of 15 points and 3.5 assists, while TJ Madlock adds 12 points and team-highs both in rebounding with 9 and in assists made with 5 per game.

Why the Jackson State Tigers will win

• Jackson State has won each of its last eight games.
• Alabama State has lost each of its last three Conference Tournament night games.
• Jackson State has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference.

Why the Alabama State Hornets will win

• Alabama State has won nine of its last 10 games.
• Alabama State has won the first half in each of its last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Alabama State’s last eight Saturday night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
• Sixteen of the last 18 night games between Alabama State and Jackson State have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Alabama State ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.4%).
• Alabama State ranks T6th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.2).

Alabama State Hornets vs Jackson State Tigers Prediction

Jackson State is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against Alabama State, and are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 meetings. Under is 4-2-1 in their last 7 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Jackson State won 77-70 at home, covering the spread, and the total pushed at 147 points.

In this Alabama State Hornets vs Jackson State Tigers Prediction, Jackson State is coming as -3.5-point favorites. Both teams are coming in this matchup in very good form, as Jackson State is 10-1 in their last 11 games, but only 2-3 against the spread in their last 5, while Alabama State is 9-1 in their last 10 games and 7-3 against the spread, so there is no value on either side. Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games lately, as they are 13-3 to the under in their last 16 games combined, and they are coming off games where they allowed 112 points combined. I expect a low-scoring grind in the SWAC Final, so give me the under 142.5 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 142.5