Alabama State vs Grambling State Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks

The Alabama State Hornets are visiting the Grambling Tigers on Saturday, March 8th at the Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center, in this SWAC matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Alabama State Hornets vs Grambling Tigers Prediction. We will examine:

The Grambling Tigers’ recent form and player performance

The Alabama State Hornets’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Grambling Tigers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alabama State Hornets

Recent betting trends in games played between the Alabama State Hornets and Grambling Tigers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Alabama State Hornets vs Grambling Tigers game

Grambling Tigers Preview

The Grambling Tigers have a 10-20 record this season and are sitting in 8th place in the SWAC. Grambling is coming off a 67-51 win over Alabama A&M. The Tigers are 11-16 against the spread, and 12-15 in over/under while having a 6-6 home record.

Offensively, Grambling is averaging 67.5 points per game, which ranks 327th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.7 points per game (80th). The Tigers shoot 43.6% from the field (244th) and 33.9% from beyond the arc (197th). The Tigers shoot 71.8% from the free-throw line (200th) and are grabbing 33.5 rebounds per game (282nd).

Kintavious Dozier leads Grambling in scoring with an average of 12.2 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Antwan Burnett adds 11 points and a team-high 5.5 rebounds per game.

Alabama State Hornets Preview

The Alabama State Hornets have a 15-15 record this season and are tied with Alabama A&M and Texas Southern in 4th place in the SWAC. Alabama State is coming off a 66-65 win over Southern. The Hornets are 11-16-2 against the spread, and 11-17-1 in over/under while having a 5-10 road record. 

Offensively, Alabama State is averaging 74.3 points per game, which is 168th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73.7 points per game (237th). The Hornets shoot 41% from the field (345th) and 33% from beyond the arc (240th). The Hornets shoot 69.2% from the free-throw line (283rd) and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game (153rd).

Ammar Knox leads Alabama State in scoring with an average of 15.1 points, while CJ Hines adds 14.3 points and 3.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Grambling State Tigers will win

• Alabama State has lost five of its last six games at Willis Reed Court at the Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center.
• Grambling State has won five of its last six games against Alabama State.
• The home team has won the first half in six of Grambling State’s last seven games.

Why the Alabama State Hornets will win

• Grambling State has lost each of its last five games following a home win.
• Alabama State has won each of its last four road games.
• Alabama State has won the first half in each of its last four road games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Five of Alabama State’s last six road day games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference have produced a total of 134+ points.
• Five of Grambling State’s last six home games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 127 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Grambling State ranks 35th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (19.4).
• Alabama State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.4%).
• Alabama State ranks 359th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (39.9).

Alabama State Hornets vs Grambling Tigers Prediction

Grambling is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against Alabama State, and are 5-1 against the spread. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Grambling won 77-67 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this Alabama State Hornets vs Grambling Tigers Prediction, Alabama State is coming as -1 road favorites. Alabama State is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, but they have been below average on the road, while Grambling is mediocre at home. Both teams have something to play for in this final game of the regular season, as they both look for a better placement in the upcoming conference tournament. Grambling is 1-3 in their last 4 games and 1-3 against the spread, while Alabama State is 6-1 in their last 7 games and 5-2 against the spread. The guests have been better throughout the season and in far better form lately, so keep it simple and take the Alabama State Hornets and lay the points on the road.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Alabama State Hornets -1