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Alabama State vs Alcorn State Prediction 1/13/25 College Basketball Picks

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Alcorn State (1-14) vs Alabama State (6-10)

January 13, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Alcorn State +1.5 — Over/Under: 143

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Alabama State vs Alcorn State Prediction for this college basketball game on Monday, January 13th, at the Davey Whitney Complex. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

-The Hornets’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Braves’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Alabama State

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Alcorn State

-Recent betting trends in games played between Alabama State and Alcorn State

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Hornets and Braves. 

Alabama State Has Issues

Alabama State has had issues all season and they are coming off another loss in the last game. Against a Jackson State team that had only one win heading into the game. Alabama State scored 70 points and they ended up losing by seven points. Amarr Knox had a strong game putting up 24 points, five rebounds, and four assists. There were four different players that put up 10 points but the lack of defense really let them down. Two games ago against Arkansas Pine Bluff, it was better and they were able to secure the 93-91 victory. 

Alabama State is averaging 77.4 points while their defense is giving up 80.1 points per game. The offense is ranked 121st in the league while the defense is ranked 343rd. They are averaging 64 field goal attempts per game which is 26th best in the league. They are also averaging 28 three-point attempts per game and they are going to need to get that defense to be strong here. Guard Amarr Knoxx has been the top play for the Hornets averaging 15.5 points while shooting 43.4 percent from the field and 36.1 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Can Alcorn State Win a Second Straight Game? 

Alcorn State has only one win this season, but that one win came in the last game. Alcorn State faced off against Alabama A&M and the defense gave up only 52 points on the way to the victory. Djah Binet had a strong game putting up 16 points and nine rebounds. Two games ago against Jackson State, they were competitive, but they still ended up losing 72-69. Three games ago against UAB, Alcorn State saved 74 points, but the defense gave up 91 points and that was the difference. 

Alcorn State is averaging 60.5 points while their defense is giving up 76.9 points per game. The offense is ranked 361st in the league while the defense is ranked 339th. They are averaging 69.3 field goal attempts per game which is 164th. One issue for Alcorn State is they don’t have that many players they can lean on. Keionte Cornelius has been the top player averaging 10.3 points while shooting 35.4 percent from the field and 38.7 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Why Alcorn State Will Beat Alabama State

  • Alcorn State has won each of its last eight games at Davey L. Whitney Complex following a home win.
  • Alabama State has lost each of its last seven games at Davey L. Whitney Complex against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Alcorn State has won the first half in six of its last seven home games against Alabama State.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alcorn State ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (78.1%).
  • Alcorn State ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (42.0%).
  • Alabama State ranks 27th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (64.0).
  • Alabama State ranks T40th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (28.0).

Alabama State vs Alcorn State Prediction

Alcorn State is coming off a win and even two games ago when they lost they played pretty well. Alabama State’s defense has been a major issue all season, giving up 80.1 points per game, and their defense is going to really struggle in this game. Alcorn State might not score the 80.1 points per game that Alabama State is giving up but they are going to run up the score and that offense is going to be enough for them to get the job done in terms of the cover. Back Alcorn State against the spread. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Alcorn State +1.5

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