Air Force vs Utah State Prediction 3/8/25 College Basketball Picks

The Air Force Falcons are visiting the Utah State Aggies on Saturday, March 8th at the Dee Glen Smith Spectrum, in this Mountain West Conference matchup. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies Prediction. We will examine:

The Utah State Aggies’ recent form and player performance

The Air Force Falcons’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Utah State Aggies

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Air Force Falcons

Recent betting trends in games played between the Air Force Falcons and Utah State Aggies

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies game

Utah State Aggies Preview

The Utah State Aggies have a 24-6 record this season and are sitting in third place in the Mountain West. Utah State is coming off a 66-93 loss to Colorado State. The Aggies are 14-15 against the spread, and 15-12-2 in over/under, while having a 14-2 home record.

Offensively, Utah State is averaging 81.3 points per game, which is the 29th-best in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.7 points per game (143rd). The Aggies shoot 49.3% from the field, which is the 11th-best in the nation, and 36.9% from beyond the arc (46th). The Aggies shoot 70.2% from the free-throw line (253rd) and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game (229th).

Ian Martinez leads Utah State in scoring with an average of 17 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 2.8 assists, while Mason Falsley adds 14.6 points and team-highs both in rebounding with 6.1 and in assists made, with 3.7 per game.

Air Force Falcons Preview

The Air Force Falcons have a 4-26 record this season and are tied with Fresno State in the last place in the Mountain West. The Falcons are coming off a 57-80 loss to Boise State. The Falcons are 10-20 against the spread, and 17-12-1 in over/under while having a 0-13 road record.

Offensively, Air Force is averaging 62.5 points per game, which is just 359th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 73.4 points per game (226th). The Falcons shoot 42.4% from the field (309th) and 33.7% from beyond the arc (209th). The Falcons shoot 63.4% from the free-throw line, which is just 359th in the nation, and are grabbing 30 rebounds per game (356th).

Ethan Taylor leads Air Force in scoring with an average of 13.9 points, adding team-highs both in rebounding with 5.4 and in assists made with 3.6 per game.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

• Utah State has won each of its last 13 day games at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Air Force has lost 23 of its last 24 games against the Mountain West Conference.
• Utah State has won the first half in 16 of its last 17 games against Air Force.

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

• The road team has won the first half in four of Air Force’s last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Fifteen of the last 16 games between Air Force and Utah State have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
• Each of Air Force’s last six games at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Utah State ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (17.7).
• Utah State ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.65).
• Air Force ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (21.4).
• Air Force ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (50.6).

Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies Prediction

Utah State is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against Air Force and is 8-2 against the spread. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Utah State won 87-58 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies, Utah State is coming as -a 21.5 home favorites. Utah State is rightfully favored, as they have the superior team in this matchup, and have been insanely strong at home, while Air Force has been winless in their 13 road games this season. The Aggies are coming off back-to-back tough losses on the road, but they are 4-0 against the spread before that. Air Force is having trouble keeping games close, as they are 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games. Utah State destroyed Air Force by 29 points on the road in their previous meeting this season, and I expect them to bounce back and blow them out of the water in this matchup. Take the Utah State Aggies and lay the big chalk at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Utah State Aggies -21.5