UC Santa Barbara vs UC San Diego Prediction 3/14/25 College Basketball Picks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UC-San Diego Tritons

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the UCSB Gauchos

Recent betting trends in games played between the UCSB Gauchos and UC-San Diego Tritons

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for UCSB Gauchos vs UC-San Diego Tritons game

UC-San Diego Tritons Preview

The UC-San Diego Tritons have a 28-4 record this season and were placed first in the Big West. UC-San Diego is coming off a 68-57 win in UC Davis. The Tritons are 23-7 against the spread, and 13-16-1 in over/under.

Offensively, UC-San Diego is averaging 80.3 points per game, which ranks 39th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 62 points per game, which is the 8th-best nationally. The Tritons shoot with 46.6% from the field (81st), and with 36.7% from beyond the arc (55th). The Tritons shoot with 74.8% from the free-throw line (83rd), and are grabbing 33.8 rebounds per game (267th).

Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones leads UC-San Diego in scoring this season, with 19.7 points, 5.3 rebounds and a team-high 3.4 assists per game, while Tyler McGhie adds 16.7 points and 3.9 rebounds per game.

UCSB Gauchos Preview

The UCSB Gauchos have a 21-12 record so far this season and were placed 5th in the Big West. The Gauchos are coming off a 78-72 win over Cal State Northridge in the quarterfinals last night. The Gauchos are 13-18 against the spread, and 14-17 in over/under.

Offensively, UCSB is averaging 75 points per game, which ranks 146th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 68.7 points per game (86th). The Gauchos shoot with 46.9% from the field (52nd), and with 38.9% from beyond the arc, which is the 6th-best in the nation. The Gauchos shoot with 76.4% from the free-throw line (41st), and are grabbing 30.7 rebounds per game (236th). 

Stephan Swenson leads UCSB in scoring this season, with an average of 13 points, 3.6 rebounds and a team-high 4.4 assists, while Kenny Pohto adds 11.9 points and a team-high 6.3 rebounds per game.

Why the UC San Diego Tritons will win

• UC San Diego has won each of its last 13 games.
• UC San Diego has won the first half in each of its last 10 games against the Big West Conference.

Why the UC Santa Barbara Gauchos will win

• UC Santa Barbara has won eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• UC Santa Barbara has won the first half in each of its last six games played at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

• Four of UC Santa Barbara's last five night games against the Big West Conference have produced a total of 142+ points.
• Each of UC San Diego's last three games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• UC San Diego ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.68).
• UC San Diego ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+18.3).
• UC Santa Barbara ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (1.9).
• UC Santa Barbara ranks 361st among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (77.1%).

UCSB Gauchos vs UC-San Diego Tritons Prediction

UC-San Diego has won their last 4 meetings against UCSB, and are 4-0 against the spread. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings, and UC-San Diego has won both meetings against UCSB this season. At home by 77-63 and on the road by 84-76, covering the spread in both, as both games went over the point total.

In this UCSB Gauchos vs UC-San Diego Tritons Prediction, UC-San Diego is coming as -10.5-point favorites. UC-San Diego is rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season, and had a grand total of 12 wins away from home. UCSB will be playing their third game in three nights, and have already lost to the Tritons twice this season, by 14 and 8 points. UCSB is 1-3 against the spread in their last 4 games, while UC San Diego is 8-2 against the spread in their last 10. I don’t expect UCSB to keep up with the best team of the conference, as the rest difference is huge and will play a major impact in this game. Lay the double digits with the better team, take the UC-San Diego Tritons by -10.5.