St. Joseph's vs Dayton Prediction 3/14/25 College Basketball Picks
Dayton (22-9) vs St. Joseph's (21-11)
Game Info: Friday, March 14, 2025 at 7:30 pm (Capital One Arena)
Betting Odds: Dayton -1.5 -- Over/Under: 143.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: Peacock
The Saint Joseph’s Hawks and the Dayton Flyers meet Friday in college basketball action from the Siegel Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Saint Joseph’s vs. Dayton prediction.
Matchup History
The Dayton Flyers won the lone meeting between these two teams this season by a final score of 77-72. The win for Dayton made it five straight in this head-to-head matchup for the Flyers.
Saint Joseph’s Recap
The Saint Joseph’s Hawks come into this game looking to add on to their 75-70 win over La Salle in their last matchup to book their spot in the A-10 tournament quarterfinals.
Hawks Looking To Spring Upset
Xzayvier Brown leads the Hawks in scoring and assists so far this season with 17.1 PPG and 4.6 APG along with 5.2 RPG while Rasheer Fleming has 15.4 PPG with a team-high 8.6 RPG to lead the Hawks on the glass up to this point in the year. Erik Reynolds II has 16.5 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 2.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Saint Joseph’s up to this point in the year. Derek Simpson’s also got 8.8 PPG with 3.9 RPG and 3.7 APG this season. As a team, Saint Joseph’s is averaging 75.8 PPG on 44.9% shooting from the field, 34.6% from three and 74.4% from the foul line this season.
Why the Saint Joseph's Hawks will win
- Saint Joseph's has won six of its last seven games.
- Dayton has lost four of its last five games played at neutral venues.
Dayton Recap
The Dayton Flyers come into the conference tournament as the 3-seed, finishing the year with an overall record of 22-9 on the year, including a 12-6 mark in A-10 conference play.
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Flyers Looking To Get Back To The Top Of The A-10 & On Right Side Of Bubble
Nate Santos leads the Flyers in scoring with 14.1 PPG along with 5.3 RPG while Enoch Cheeks has 13.4 PPG with a team-high 6.3 RPG to lead the Flyers on the glass so far this season. Malachi Smith has 10.4 PPG with a team-high 5.3 APG to lead the Flyers in assists and Javon Bennett’s also chipped in 10.7 PPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Dayton up to this point in the year. Zed Key has 9.3 PPG with 3.9 RPG and Amael L’Etang has 7.2 PPG with 4.4 RPG and Posh Alexander has added 6 PPG with 2.3 RPG and 2.3 APG as well on the year. As a team, Dayton is averaging 75.4 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 35.7% from three and 74.7% from the foul line this season.
Why the Dayton Flyers will win
- Dayton has won seven of its last eight games against Saint Joseph's.
- Saint Joseph's has lost each of its last three games when playing with a rest disadvantage against Dayton.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Saint Joseph's' last four games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 145+ points.
- Four of Dayton's last five games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 146+ points.
Saint Joseph’s vs. Dayton Prediction
I’m on Dayton in this game. I just think that the Flyers are the better team when they play to their potential and we started to really see glimpses of that down the stretch as they were able to take down teams like VCU on the road. Saint Joseph’s has a tendency to live and die by the 3-point shot and Dayton is a solid team defensively and do all of the fundamentals well. Give me Dayton here.
Chris’s Pick Dayton -1.5
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo

Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg