Purdue vs Michigan Prediction 3/14/25 College Basketball Picks

Michigan (22-9) vs Purdue (22-10)

Game Info: Friday, March 14, 2025 at 9:00 pm (Gainbridge Fieldhouse)

Betting Odds: Michigan +2.5 -- Over/Under: 147.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: BTN

The Purdue Boilermakers and Michigan Wolverines meet Friday in the college basketball Big Ten Quarterfinal at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Purdue vs Michigan Prediction. This article will include a Purdue vs Michigan Pick.

Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview 

The Purdue Boilermakers recently played UCLA, Rutgers, Illinois, and USC. Purdue has seen five of its 10 losses come in its last eight games. 

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The Purdue Boilermakers are averaging 78.3 points on 49.6 percent shooting and allowing 70.6 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Trey Kaufman-Renn is averaging 20.1 points and 6.2 rebounds, while Braden Smith is averaging 16.2 points and 4.6 rebounds. Fletcher Loyer is the third double-digit scorer and Daniel Jacobson is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Purdue Boilermakers are shooting 38.6 percent from beyond the arc and 73.2 percent from the free throw line. The Purdue Boilermakers are allowing 30.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.5 rebounds per game.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview 

The Michigan Wolverines recently lost to Illinois, Maryland, and Michigan State. Michigan has lost three straight games and looks for its first win since February 27. 

The Michigan Wolverines are averaging 79.1 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 71.4 points on 40.9 percent shooting. Vladislav Goldin is averaging 16.7 points and 1.2 assists, while Danny Wolf is averaging 12.9 points and 9.7 rebounds. Tre Donaldson is the third double-digit scorer and Nimari Burnett is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Michigan Wolverines are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 71.7 percent from the free throw line. The Michigan Wolverines are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

  • Michigan has won five of its last six games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
  • Purdue has lost three of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win

  • Michigan has lost each of its last four games against Conference opponents at neutral venues.
  • Purdue has won 12 of its last 13 Friday games.
  • Michigan has lost the first half in each of its last four games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Michigan's last 12 games against the Big Ten Conference at neutral venues have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
  • Each of Purdue's last eight Conference Tournament games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Michigan ranks 39th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (11.3).
  • Michigan ranks 40th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (47.8%).
  • Purdue ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (57.0%).
  • Purdue ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (60.4%).

Purdue vs Michigan Injury Report

Purdue will be without Daniel Jacobsen due to a knee injury. Michigan will be without Sam Walters due to a back injury. 

Purdue vs Michigan Prediction

It’s hard to find the confidence in Michigan with the way it ended the regular season. Who knows how five days off is going to impact the Wolverines? With that said, let’s not act like Purdue is lighting the world on fire. The Boilermakers have split their last 10 games and they were flirting with a loss yesterday against USC as a double-digit favorite. Purdue has recent losses to Indiana and Wisconsin as a big favorite. Michigan has the rest advantage and it's led by a coach in Dusty May who has been great in tournament play these last two seasons. The underdog is 5-3-1 ATS in the last nine games between Purdue and Michigan. This is a spot where Michigan could get back on track. Give me the points. 

Randy’s Pick Michigan +2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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