Kentucky vs Alabama Prediction 3/14/25 College Basketball Picks

Alabama (24-7) vs Kentucky (22-10)

Game Info: Friday, March 14, 2025 at 9:30 pm (Bridgestone Arena)

Betting Odds: Alabama -6.5 -- Over/Under: 180.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: SEC Network

The Kentucky Wildcats and Alabama Crimson Tide meet Friday in the college basketball SEC Quarterfinal at the Bridgestone Arena. Here’s a Kentucky vs Alabama Prediction. This article will include a Kentucky vs Alabama Pick.

Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview 

The Kentucky Wildcats recently played Auburn, LSU, Missouri, and Oklahoma. Kentucky has won eight of its last 12 games against ranked teams. 

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The Kentucky Wildcats are averaging 85.8 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 77 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Otega Oweh is averaging 16.2 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Jaxson Robinson is averaging 13 points and 3.5 rebounds. Lamont Butler is the third double-digit scorer and Koby Brea is dishing 1.2 assists. The Kentucky Wildcats are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74.4 percent from the free throw line. The Kentucky Wildcats are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview 

The Alabama Crimson Tide recently played Tennessee, Florida, and Auburn. Alabama has seen four of its seven losses come in its last eight games.

The Alabama Crimson Tide are averaging 91.2 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 81.1 points on 42.3 percent shooting. Mark Sears is averaging 19.2 points and 3.1 rebounds, while Grant Nelson is averaging 12.1 points and 1.6 assists. Latrell Wrightsell Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aden Holloway is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Alabama Crimson Tide are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 71.7 percent from the free throw line. The Alabama Crimson Tide are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

  • Alabama has won each of its last four games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Kentucky has lost four of its last five games at Bridgestone Arena.
  • Kentucky has lost the first half in five of its last six night games played at neutral venues.

Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win

  • Kentucky has won 34 of its last 36 Friday night games.
  • Alabama has lost each of its last three Conference Tournament night games.
  • Alabama has lost the first half in each of its last four night games against the Southeastern Conference at Bridgestone Arena.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Kentucky's last 12 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 179 or fewer points.
  • Each of Alabama's last four night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 183+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Alabama ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (68.4).
  • Alabama ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for pace this season (75.4).
  • Kentucky ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (123.8).
  • Kentucky ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (111.1).

Kentucky vs Alabama Injury Report

Kentucky will be without Jaxson Robinson and Kerr Kriisa. Alabama will be without Latrell Wrightsell Jr. and Houston Mallette, while Derrion Reid is questionable with a lower body injury. 

Kentucky vs Alabama Prediction

Alabama is the better more balanced team and won both games against Kentucky this season while covering the number. Kentucky hasn’t been able to get stops against Alabama in two meetings. However, Alabama hasn’t played in six days and who knows how that layoff is going to impact the players. It’s a long time off. Also, Kentucky has eight wins against ranked teams this season, so the Wildcats have proven they can play with the big boys. It’s also not easy to beat a good team three times in one season. I’ll grab the points with Kentucky.

Randy’s Pick Kentucky +6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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