Arizona vs Texas Tech Prediction 3/14/25 College Basketball Picks

Texas Tech (25-7) vs Arizona (21-11)

Game Info: Friday, March 14, 2025 at 9:30 pm (T-Mobile Center)

Betting Odds: Texas Tech -2.5 -- Over/Under: 152.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN2

The Arizona Wildcats and Texas Tech Red Raiders meet on Friday in college basketball action at T-Mobile Center. Here’s an Arizona vs Texas Tech prediction. This article will include an Arizona vs Texas Tech Pick.

Arizona Wildcats Betting Preview

The Arizona Wildcats (21-11, 17-15 ATS) have been fairly inconsistent late in the season as they lost five of the final eight regular-season games and finished 3rd in the Big 12 Standings. Some of those defeats came to ranked teams Houston, Iowa State, and Kansas, but Arizona got revenge for that L to the Jayhawks with an 88-77 victory in the quarterfinals of the conference tourney.

Arizona averages 82.0 PPG (23rd) and allows 72.1 PPG (193rd). The Wildcats are 19th in rebounds (39.9) and 33rd in assists (16.8). Caleb Love leads the team with 16.4 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 3.5 APG, and 1.3 SPG. Jaden Bradley follows him with 11.9 PPG, 3.4 RPG, a team-high 3.8 APG, and a team-high 1.9 SPG, while KJ Lewis chips in 10.5 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 2.9 APG, and 1.3 SPG. 

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (25-7, 17-15 ATS) concluded the regular season with three straight victories over Kansas, Colorado, and Arizona State to secure the No. 2 seed for the conference tournament. The Red Raiders had a 13-point lead at halftime against Baylor in the quarterfinals but barely escaped with a 76-74 after a couple of missed free throws late and a missed game-tying jumper by VJ Edgecombe. 

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Texas Tech is averaging 81.1 PPG (31st) and is allowing 66.8 PPG (43rd). The Red Raiders are getting 36.6 RPG (125th) and dish out 16.7 APG (34th). JT Toppin is the team’s top performer with 18.1 PPG, a team-high 9.3 RPG, and a team-high 1.2 BPG. Chance McMillian has 14.7 PPG and 4.2 RPG, while Darrion Williams contributes 14.3 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 3.8 APG, and 1.2 SPG.

Why Arizona will beat Texas Tech

  • Arizona has won three of its last four games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Why Texas Tech will beat Arizona

  • Texas Tech has won each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Arizona has lost three of its last four games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas Tech ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+21.4).
  • Texas Tech ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for points per possession this season (1.21).
  • Arizona ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (55.1%).
  • Arizona ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.3%).

Arizona vs Texas Tech Prediction

Arizona won three of four H2H encounters thus far. This season, the series is tied at 1-1; Texas Tech won 70-54 in January, while Arizona was better 82-73 in February. Both teams have efficient offenses, but Texas Tech has a stronger defense, which could be crucial late in the game. Still, I will avoid betting on the winner because I don't trust the Red Raiders and I am not brave enough to back Arizona. I'll go with the points as I expect both to score 75+. Both teams have a positive Over/Under record this season; Arizona is 18-14 and Texas Tech is 17-14-1. This one could go down to the wire and don't be surprised if we see an overtime. I am backing Over.

Oliver’s Pick Over 152.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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