Tarleton vs California Baptist Prediction 3/13/25 College Basketball Picks

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tarelon State

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving California Baptist

-Recent betting trends in games played between Tarleton State and California Baptist

-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Texans and Lancers.

This is a Western Athletic Conference Tournament game. Tarleton State is the sixth seed while California Baptist is the third seed. These two teams just faced off on March 6th and it was California Baptist that secured the 68-48 victory. 

Tarleton State is Struggling

Tarleton State is struggling heading into this game, and they have lost two games in a row. Two games ago, they only scored 48 points against Cal Baptist, and in the last game against Utah Valley, they lost 71-66. In the second half, the offense only scored 30 points, leading to defeat. Freddy Hicks was the top player putting up 20 points, eight rebounds, and three assists. Four different players ended up putting up at least 11 points. Three games ago against ACU the defense gave up only 52 points, and they are going to need to get that defense back on the right track here. 

Tarleton State sits with a 12-19 record overall. The Texans are averaging only 63.7 points, while their defense is giving up 70.1 points per game. The defense might look like the weakness, but it’s actually been the offense that has really hurt them this season. Bubu Benjamin has been the top player, averaging 14.3 points while shooting 44.6 percent from the field and 38.6 percent from behind the three-point line. 

Cal Baptist is Hot

Cal Baptist is hot heading into this game, and they have won three games in a row. Two games ago, the defense gave up only 48 points against Tarleton State, and in the last game against UT Arlington, they won 70-68. The second half wasn’t as strong, but they still held on for the win. Dominique Daniels Jr has been the top player, putting up 24 points, three assists, and one rebound. Only one other player scored in double figures, and he needs a more balanced attack here. 

California Baptist has a 16-14 overall record, and to succeed in this game, they are going to need the defense to step up a major way again. California Baptist is averaging 72 points, while its defense is giving up 70.5 points per game. Dominique Daniels Jr. has been the top player for this team, averaging 19.9 points per game but only shooting 37.6 percent from the field. 

Why Cal Baptist Will Beat Tarleton State 

• Tarleton State has lost four of its last five night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• California Baptist has won each of its last three games against the Western Athletic Conference.

Matchup/League Facts

• California Baptist ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (10.3).
• California Baptist ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (6.1).
• Tarleton State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (12.8).
• Tarleton State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (22.8%).

Tarleton State vs California Baptist Prediction

Cal Baptist is the better team, and they have already proven they know exactly how to beat up this Tarleton State team. Tarleton State is giving up 70.1 points per game, and they will give up even more than that here. I am more concerned about their offense though, and they are going to really struggle to get any sort of offense going here. California Baptist will jump out to a fast start, Tarleton State will get out to a slow start and the favorites will get the job done. Back Cal Baptist against the spread.