Alabama State vs Texas Southern Prediction 3/13/25 College Basketball Picks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Southern Tigers

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Alabama State Hornets

Recent betting trends in games played between the Alabama State Hornets and Texas Southern Tigers

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Alabama State Hornets vs Texas Southern Tigers game

Texas Southern Tigers Preview

The Texas Southern Tigers finished the regular season with a 15-16 record and were placed 5th in the SWAC. Texas Southern is coming off an 80-68 win over Prairie View. The Tigers are 12-16 against the spread and 11-16-1 in over/under.

Offensively, Texas Southern is averaging 72.5 points per game, which ranks 222nd in the nation. Defensively, they allow 71.7 points per game (177th). The Tigers shoot 42.6% from the field (300th) and 33% from beyond the arc (233rd). The Tigers shoot 73.1% from the free-throw line (141st) and are grabbing 37.5 rebounds per game (67th).

Kavion McClain leads Texas Southern in scoring this season, with 13.9 points, 3.1 rebounds, and a team-high 4.4 assists, while Zaire Hayes adds 9.9 points per game.

Alabama State Hornets Preview

The Alabama State Hornets finished the regular season with a 16-15 record and were placed 4th in the SWAC. Alabama State is coming off a 59-47 win over Grambling. The Hornets are 12-16-2 against the spread and 11-18-1 in over/under. 

Offensively, Alabama State is averaging 73.8 points per game, which is 181st in the nation. Defensively, they allow 72.9 points per game (211th). The Hornets shoot 40.8% from the field (348th) and 32.7% from beyond the arc (247th). The Hornets shoot 69.6% from the free-throw line (269th) and are grabbing 36 rebounds per game (139th).

Ammar Knox leads Alabama State in scoring with an average of 15 points, while CJ Hines adds 14.2 points and 3.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Texas Southern Tigers will win

• Texas Southern has won 22 of its last 23 games against Alabama State.
• Alabama State has lost seven of its last eight Conference Tournament games.
• Alabama State has lost the first half in seven of its last eight Conference Tournament games.

Why the Alabama State Hornets will win

• Alabama State has won seven of its last eight games.
• Alabama State has won the first half in six of its last eight games against the Southwestern Athletic Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last four day games between Alabama State and Texas Southern have produced a total of 146+ points.
• Six of Alabama State's last seven games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 138 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas Southern ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (68.4%).
• Texas Southern ranks 27th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (40.5%).
• Alabama State ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.4%).
• Alabama State ranks T6th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.2).

Alabama State Hornets vs Texas Southern Tigers Prediction

Texas Southern is 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against Alabama State, but Alabama State is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 meetings. Over is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings, and in their previous meeting earlier this season, Texas Southern won 80-69 on the road, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.

In this Alabama State Hornets vs Texas Southern Tigers Prediction, Alabama State is coming as -1.5-point favorites. Both teams have almost identical records this season, and both have exactly 6 wins away from home. Both teams are also in very good form lately, as Texas Southern is 4-1 in their last 5 games and 4-1 against the spread, while Alabama State is 7-1 in their last 8 games and 6-2 against the spread, so I see no value on either side. Both teams have been playing some lower-scoring games lately, as they are a strong 15-4-1 to the under in their last 20 games combined. I don’t expect fireworks offensively in a single elimination game, so give me the under.