Tarleton State (25-9) vs PFW (21-12)
Game Info: Monday, March 25, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Wisdom Gym)
Betting Odds: Tarleton State -5.5 -- Over/Under: 152 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons and Tarleton Texans meet Monday in the college basketball CIT Semifinal at the Wisdom Gym. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Purdue Fort Wayne vs Tarleton prediction.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Betting Preview
The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons recently beat Robert Morris and Bowling Green while losing to Oakland. PFW had an 11-9 conference record, the same as Cleveland State. The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons are averaging 81.5 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 71.5 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Jalen Jackson is averaging 16.2 points and 2.5 assists, while Rasheed Bello is averaging 14.8 points and 2.9 rebounds. Anthony Roberts is the third double-digit scorer and Quinton Morton-Robertson is grabbing 2.8 rebounds. The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons are shooting 36.4 percent from beyond the arc and 69.6 percent from the free throw line. The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.8 rebounds per game.
Tarleton Texans Betting Preview
The Tarleton Texans rebounded from a loss to UT Arlington with wins over Texas Southern and Abilene Christian. Tarleton State was 2nd in the WAC, behind Grand Canyon and ahead of UT Arlington and Seattle. The Tarleton Texans are averaging 73.2 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 68.1 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Jakorie Smith is averaging 15.8 points and 2 assists, while Lue Williams is averaging 13 points and 4.4 rebounds. Devon Barnes is the third double-digit scorer and KiAndre Gaddy is dishing 1.1 assists. The Tarleton Texans are shooting 32.3 percent from beyond the arc and 75.2 percent from the free throw line. The Tarleton Texans are allowing 33 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31 rebounds per game.
Tarleton State Texans Team Facts
- Tarleton State has won each of its last eight day games.
- Twelve of Tarleton State's last 13 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
- Tarleton State has won the first half in each of its last 15 games against non-Conference opponents at Wisdom Gym.
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Team Facts
- Purdue Fort Wayne has won 15 of its last 17 games against non-Conference opponents.
- Five of Purdue Fort Wayne's last six day games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
- Purdue Fort Wayne has won the first half in four of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- Tarleton State ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.0).
- Tarleton State ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (0.81).
- Purdue Fort Wayne ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.3).
- Purdue Fort Wayne ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (16.4).
Purdue Fort Wayne vs Tarleton prediction
Purdue Fort Wayne has the offensive horses to spring an upset in this spot and has 9 road wins on the year. The problem is, Tarleton is the more balanced team that gets after it defensively and is 13-3 SU at home this season. Tarleton is also 6-2-2 ATS in its last 10 games and 19-10-2 ATS on the season. With a cover percentage of 66.6 percent, Tarleton was a top-12 cover team in college basketball during the regular season. I'd need more points to consider the Mastodons seriously. Give me Tarleton and the reasonable chalk.
Randy’s Pick Tarleton State -5.5
AUTHOR: Randy Chambers
