TCU vs Utah State Prediction College Basketball Picks 3/22/24

Utah State (27-6) vs TCU (21-12)

Game Info: Friday, March 22, 2024 at 9:55 pm (Gainbridge Fieldhouse)

Betting Odds: Utah State Aggies +3.5 -- Over/Under: 148.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The TCU Horned Frogs and the Utah State Aggies meet Friday in NCAA Tournament First Round college basketball action from Gainbridge Fieldhouse. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. Here’s a TCU vs Utah State prediction. We will examine:

• The TCU recent form and player performance

• The Utah State recent form and player performance

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving TCU

• Recent betting trends and streaks involving Utah State

• Recent betting trends in games played between TCU and Utah State

• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the TCU vs Utah State game

TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview

TCU had a spotty run down the stretch in the regular season, but to be fair they also played some pretty tough teams. The Frogs finished off on a 2-4 run, beating only Cincinnati and West Virginia with losses otherwise to Texas Tech, Baylor, BYU and UCF during those half-dozen outings.

After a tournament win over Oklahoma, TCU took on Houston last Thursday. The Frogs were drilled 31-15 in the first half, then hit a 30-29 advantage the rest of the way in a 60-45 loss. Tops in scoring was Micah Peavy who doubled up on 13 points and 11 boards in the defeat.

Utah State Aggies Betting Preview

Over on the Utah State side, they had a spotty 2-3 stretch going in February. The Aggies finished off the regular season on a great run, though. Those victories came versus San Diego State, Fresno State, Air Force, San Jose State and New Mexico during a five-game run.

The Aggies would beat Fresno State last Thursday before matching up with San Diego State again. Utah State wasn’t so fortunate this time, getting outscored 50-31 in the second for an 86-70 loss. Great Osobor was the lead scorer with his 19 points and five rebounds.

Utah State Aggies Team Facts

  • Utah State has won each of its last 11 games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Each of Utah State's last five games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
  • Utah State has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 night games against non-Conference opponents.

TCU Horned Frogs Team Facts

  • TCU has won each of its last eight night games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Six of TCU's last seven night games against the Mountain West Conference have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
  • TCU has won the first half in 17 of its last 19 night games against non-Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Utah State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (28.2%).
  • Utah State ranks T5th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.2).
  • TCU ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (17.4).
  • TCU ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.0).

TCU vs Utah State Prediction

I’ll lean toward Utah State. The Aggies had a rough second half in their last matchup versus San Diego State and ultimately shot poorly. Utah State hit 40 percent from the field with 5-of-20 (25 percent) from outside and 21-of-32 (65.6 percent) from the line. The 43-35 rebounding deficit didn’t help, either. Still, Utah State has scored 68 or more points in seven straight games, a 6-1 run.

As for TCU, they got pummeled by a great Houston team in their last matchup. The Frogs shot just 23.3 percent from the field and 2-of-20 (10 percent) from outside in that one, but did hit a nice 55-39 rebounding edge (30-9 offensive). TCU is going to have to rely on that rebounding prowess in order to control this one, but I in the end think Utah State powers out the cover if they can keep the offense humming. It’ll be a good matchup regardless.

Andrew’s Pick Utah State Aggies +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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