Toledo vs Buffalo Prediction College Basketball Picks 3/2/24

Buffalo (4-24) vs Toledo (17-11)

Game Info: Saturday, March 2, 2024 at 2:00 pm (Alumni Arena)

Betting Odds: Buffalo +10.5 - Over/Under: 158.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Buffalo Bulls will host the Toledo Rockets for a matchup in the MAC this Saturday from the Alumni Arena on ESPN+. Toledo enters as 10.5-point road favorites, with the total hovering 158.5. Stay tuned for our Toledo vs Buffalo Prediction.  

Toledo Preview: Rockets Looking to Respond Swiftly

Toledo fell to 17-11 after losing to Northern Illinois at home by three, 75-72. The Rockets watched the Huskies march back in the second half, and they’ll attempt to bounce back here in Buffalo. Toledo is currently second in the MAC with a 11-4 record in league play, with an 8-2 record over their last ten games, and they’ve gone 6-5 on the road. 

Toledo Team Analysis

  • Junior guard Ra’heim Moss led the way with 24 points in the Ball State victory, and he’s Toledo’s top scorer at 16.4 ppg. 
  • Veteran guard Tyler Cochran recorded a double-double in the win over Buffalo, and he leads the Rockets in rebounding (6.2), while scoring 12.9 ppg. 
  • Third-year guard Dante Maddox Jr. has scored 21 points in back-to-back games, and he’s second on the team at 15.5 ppg.
  • Freshman forward Javan Simmons came thru with a season-high 20 points in the first matchup with Buffalo, and he’s up to 12.5 ppg.

Buffalo Preview: Bulls With an Opportunity to Play Spoiler

Buffalo dropped to 4-24 after losing to Kent State on the road, 76-64. The Bulls were unable to overcome another slow start versus the Flashes, and they’ll look to avoid being swept by the Rockets this Saturday. Buffalo is currently last in the MAC with a 2-13 record in conference play, with a 1-9 record over their last ten games, and they’ve gone 2-10 in Buffalo this season. 

Buffalo Team Analysis

  • Veteran forward Sy Chatman scored 21 points or more in five straight games prior to the loss to Miami, and he leads Buffalo in scoring (17.9), while grabbing 6.6 rpg.
  • Jacksonville native Isaiah Adams has reached double figures in four of five games, and he’s second on the team at 12.4 ppg.  
  • Senior forward Jonnivius Smith grabbed a season-high 15 boards in the win over CMU, and he leads the Bulls in boards at 9.2 rpg, and he’s scoring 8.1 ppg.  

Toledo vs Buffalo Team Stats

  • Toledo is scoring 79.8 points per game, on 47.7% shooting, while allowing 72.6 ppg.
  • The Rockets are averaging 71.9 possessions per game (139th), while shooting 37.5% from deep, and 75.1% from the stripe. 
  • Buffalo has scored 67.7 points per game, on 41.8% shooting, and they’ve allowed 73.6 ppg.
  • The Bulls are averaging 72.3 possessions per game (121st), while shooting 27% from the outside, and 71.4% from the line. 

Toledo vs Buffalo Game Trends

  • Toledo leads the all-time series, 20-14, after winning five consecutive matchups. 
  • TOL is 13-15 against the spread, with a 14-14 O/U record.
  • BUF is 11-16 ATS, with a 12-15 over/under record.

Toledo vs Buffalo Prediction  

Toledo didn’t close February on the best note, but they come into a prime spot to open the month of March, as they get to face a lowly Buffalo team. The Bulls are the MAC’s version of DePaul, as they just haven’t been able to put up a consistent fight each time out during league play, and the Rockets should capitalize on that. Despite their cold stretch, Toledo is still in the midst of a three-way dance atop the conference with Akron and Ohio for the regular season crown, so let’s lean on a sharp effort from them here in Buffalo. Back Toledo this Saturday.

Corey’s Pick Toledo TO COVER

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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