Louisville vs Duke Prediction - College Basketball Picks 2/28/24

Duke (21-6) vs Louisville (8-19)

Game Info: Wednesday, February 28, 2024 at 7:00 pm (Cameron Indoor Stadium)

Betting Odds: Duke -19.5 -- Over/Under: 151.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Louisville Cardinals and Duke Blue Devils face off on Wednesday in a college basketball showdown at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Let’s look at the betting matchup and give a free Louisville vs Duke prediction.

A Very Bad Season for Louisville

It’s been a terrible season for Louisville and they come into this game with an 8-19 record overall. In the last game against Notre Dame, Louisville only scored 50 points and they ended up losing by 22 points. Louisville only shot 33.9 percent from the field. Louisville is averaging 72.6 points while their defense is giving up 78.6 points per game. The defense is ranked 332nd in the league and the defense hasn’t been good enough. Skyy Clarke is averaging 13.3 points while shooting 40 percent from the field. 

Louisville Betting Trends

  • Louisville has lost 17 of its last 18 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Eighteen of Louisville's last 22 games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
  • Louisville has lost the first half in 16 of its last 17 games against AP-ranked opponents.

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Will Injuries Hurt Duke Here?

The injuries for Duke could be a concern here, or they might not be a concern at all. Kyle Filipowski is dealing with an ankle injury after the court storm on Saturday, and he’s questionable for this game. If he can’t go, that obviously is a terrible loss for Duke. in the last game, Duke went on the road to Wake Forest and they ended up losing 83-79. Duke is averaging 80.4 points while their defense is giving up 67.7 points per game. Filipowski is having a strong season averaging 16.9 points while shooting 50 percent from the field and 34.4 percent from the field. 

Duke Betting Trends

  • Duke has won 20 of its last 21 night games at Cameron Indoor Stadium against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Each of Duke's last nine Wednesday night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
  • Duke has won the first half in each of its last six games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.

Louisville vs Duke Betting Prediction

Without knowing the status of Filipowski, there are better games on the board to bet. This Louisville team is so bad though, that even if Duke’s star doesn’t play, the Blue Devils are going to have little issues in this game. The Louisville defense is going to have some major issues again here, and that will be the difference as Duke is going to get the job done. Back Duke against the spread here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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