Houston vs Baylor Prediction College Basketball Picks 2/24/24

Baylor (19-7) vs Houston (23-3)

Game Info: Saturday, February 24, 2024 at 12:00 pm (Foster Pavillion)

Betting Odds: Baylor +2.5 -- Over/Under: 136.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Cougars will make the three-hour trip up to Waco to face the Baylor Bears in Big 12 play from the Foster Pavilion on CBS. Houston leads the current series, 38-16, and they come in as 2.5-point road favorites, with the total hovering 136.5. Stay tuned for our Houston vs Baylor Prediction. 

Houston Cougars Preview

Houston improved to 23-3 after defeating Iowa State at home, 73-65. The Cougars out scored the Cyclones in both halves to pick up the top-10 ranked victory, and they’ll seek a fifth straight win this weekend in Waco. Houston is scoring 73.9 points per game, on 44.1% shooting, while allowing 51.0 ppg, and they’re currently first in the Big 12 with a 10-3 record in conference play. The Cougars are 9-1 over their previous ten games, and they’ve gone 4-3 on the road this season. 

Houston Team Profile

  • Kelvin Sampson’s squad takes a rugged approach offensively, averaging 66.2 possessions per game (351st), and they’ve been solid from beyond the arc, knocking down 34.4% of their three-point shots (159th).
  • Baylor transfer LJ Cryer went for a game-high 26 points in the win over Texas, and he leads Houston in scoring (15.0).
  • Veteran guard Jamal Shead poured in 26 points in the Iowa State victory, and he’s up to 13.3 ppg and a team-leading 5.8 apg.
  • Sophomore guard Emanuel Sharp has reached 15 points or more in three of the last four games, and he’s third on the team at 12.6 ppg. 
  • Senior forward J’Wan Roberts scored a team-high 20 points in the Cincinnati matchup, and he leads the Cougars in rebounding (7.0), while scoring 9.0 ppg

Baylor Bears Preview

Baylor enters at 19-7 after falling to BYU in Provo, 78-71. The Bears couldn’t recover in the second half, and they’ll aim for different results against this group of Cougars. Baylor is scoring 83.0 points per game, on 49.3% shooting, while allowing 70.8 ppg, and they’re currently 4th in the Big 12 with a 8-5 record in conference play. The Bears are 5-5 over their previous ten games, and they’ve gone 3-3 on the road this season. 

Baylor Team Profile

  • Scott Drew’s team uses a guard-heavy approach, averaging 70.1 possessions per game (219th), and they’ve shot 39.6% from deep (4th). 
  • Freshman guard Ja’Kobe Walter went for a team-high 23 points in the win over WVU, and he leads Baylor in scoring (14.4), while grabbing 4.5 rpg. 
  • Toledo transfer RayJ Dennis has recorded eight dimes in four straight games, and he’s up to 13.1 ppg and a team-leading 6.6 apg.  
  • Freshman center Yves Missi scored for a game-high 21 points in the Kansas matchup, and he leads the Bears in rebounding (5.7), while averaging 11.2 ppg. 
  • Former VCU guard Jayden Nunn led the way with  a season-best with 27 points in the Oklahoma victory, and he’s up to 10.8 ppg.

Houston vs Baylor Trends

  • HOU is 12-12-2 against the spread, with a 11-15 O/U record
  • BAY is 15-9-1 ATS, with a 13-12 over/under record.

Houston vs Baylor Prediction: Spread

Houston looked good in their ranked victory over Iowa State, and I believe they’ll double down here against Baylor. The Cougars shook off some early road struggles in their new conference, and with this contest still taking place in the Lone Star state, they should feel somewhat comfortable here in Waco. The Bears enter on the heels of a road loss to BYU, so while they won’t be an easy out returning home, the visitors have simply been that good this season. I like taking the traditional win by two for Houston in this Big 12 battle, as they look to secure a fifth straight victory.

Houston vs Baylor Prediction: Total

Both teams defend very well, with the Cougars annually carrying one of the best units in the country, but there’s a chance this afternoon spot generates points. The magic number is in an attainable spot if Baylor’s able to make Houston play at their pace throughout this game, the total can be cleared. Give the Over a look for this in-state matchup.

Corey’s Pick Houston TO COVER

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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