FAU vs San Diego State Prediction - Final Four Picks 4/1/23

San Diego State Aztecs (31-6) vs Florida Atlantic Owls (35-3)

Game Info: Saturday, April 1, 2023 at 6:09 pm (NRG Stadium)

Betting Odds: San Diego State Aztecs -2.5 -- Over/Under: 132 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego State Aztecs will play the FAU Owls in the Final Four of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday night at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas.

San Diego State Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs are 31-6 (15-3) this season after they defeated Creighton by a score of 57-56 in their last game. San Diego State shot 37.9% from the field, but only 23.1% on three pointers in the win. The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 71.5 points per game, 62.9 points against per game, 36.3 rebounds per game, and 13.2 assists per game. Matt Bradley has led the Aztecs this season with 12.5 points per game, 3.8 rebounds per game, and 2.1 assists per game. San Diego State is shooting 44.4% from the field, 73.2% on free throws, and 35.3% on three pointers this year. 

FAU Preview

The FAU Owls are 35-3 (18-2) this season after they defeated Kansas State by a score of 79-76 in their last game. FAU shot 48.1% from the field and was +22 in rebounding margin in the win. The FAU Owls are averaging 78 points per game, 65.1 points against per game, 39.1 rebounds per game, and 14.6 assists per game. Johnell Davis has led the Owls this season with 13.9 points per game, 5.5 rebounds per game, and 1.7 assists per game. FAU is shooting 47.2% from the field, 71.6% on free throws, and 37.2% on three pointers this year. 

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Trends

FAU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and 17-6 ATS in their last 23 Saturday games. The under is 6-2 in FAU’s last 8 neutral site games. San Diego State is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games and 15-5-2 ATS in their last 22 games. The under is 19-7 in San Diego State’s last 26 games. 

Pick

These two teams shocked most of the country by winning their regions and they will face off on Saturday night for a chance to play in the National Championship game. FAU dominated the glass on Kansas State and was able to generate plenty of second chance points. San Diego State beat Alabama in the Sweet Sixteen and was able to get by Creighton in the Elite Eight by one point. San Diego State comes into this game as a slight favorite and plays some of the best defense in the country, but FAU is the better shooting team and is averaging more rebounds per game. I think this game could go either way, so I am going to take FAU with the points here. 

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David’s Pick FAU +2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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