Creighton vs San Diego State Prediction - Elite Eight Picks 3/26/23

San Diego State Aztecs (30-6) vs Creighton Bluejays (24-12)

Game Info: Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 2:20 pm (KFC Yum! Center)

Betting Odds: San Diego State Aztecs +2 -- Over/Under: 134.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Creighton Blue Jays and the San Diego State Aztecs will meet in the Elite 8 of the South Region in Louisville at the KFC Yum! Center on CBS. Creighton and SDSU have quietly built up some history over time, meeting eight times with the most recent meeting coming in last year’s round of 32. The Blue Jays lead the head-to-head series, 5-3, after stealing an overtime victory at the Dance last season.

Creighton Betting Preview

Creighton comes in at 24-12 after defeating Princeton in the Sweet Sixteen. The Bluejays controlled both halves to eliminate the Tigers with an 11-point win, 86-75. Creighton is scoring 77.0 ppg, while allowing 71.3 ppg, and shooting 47% from the field.

Creighton has looked strong in each of their first three wins, and they’ll look to reach their first Final Four ever here. Ryan Kalkbrenner scored 22 points in the Sweet 16 win over Princeton, and the junior center leads the team in scoring (15.9), while grabbing 6.1 rpg. Senior swingman Baylor Scheierman matched his energy with 21 points against the Tigers, and he’s up to 12.8 ppg and a team-leading 8.2 rpg. Sophomore forward Arthur Kaluma (11.8 ppg, 6.0 rpg) joins them up front, while sophomore guards Ryan Nembhard (12.3 ppg, 4.9 apg) and Trey Alexander (13.2 ppg) round out the starting lineup.

San Diego State Betting Preview

San Diego State comes in 30-6 after defeating Alabama in the Sweet Sixteen. The Aztecs set the tone early, and held onto their halftime lead to win by seven, 71-64. San Diego State is scoring 71.9 points per game, while allowing 57.7 ppg, and shooting 44.33% from the floor.

San Diego State shook the field by taking out the number one overall seeds, and they’re personally my favorites to win this whole thing. The Aztecs play a collective brand of basketball, and thrive on both sides of the ball. Veteran guard Matt Bradley scored 17 points in the first round victory over Charleston, and he leads SDSU in scoring (12.8). Senior guard Darroon Trammell went off for 21 points in the Sweet 16 win over Alabama, and he’s second on the team at 9.8 ppg. 2x MWC Defensive Player of the Year Nathan Mensah blocked five shots against the Tide, and he leads the team in rebounding (5.9), while scoring 6.1 ppg. forward Jaedon Ledee. The Aztecs get notable contributions from seven more players, and they’re one of the deeper teams in the country.

Creighton vs SDSU Trends

San Diego State is 18-15-2 against the spread this season, with a 14-21 over/under record. Creighton is 19-17 ATS this year, with a 17-18-1 o/u record. The Under is 7-0 in SDSU's last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Corey's Free Pick

Two of the strongest defenses in the nation will collide Sunday after that could turn into a slugfest. I believe both teams will lean on their units and look to win through that side of the ball, so while the under will be in play, I’m sold on the revenge factor for the Aztecs. A huge chunk of last year’s squad will head into this contest with last year’s overtime loss on St. Patrick’s Day to the Jays fresh in their mind, and they could pull off another profitable upset. San Diego State will carry the perfect storm of confidence and motivation into this contest, and I like this group advancing to the Final Four here. Spot SDSU the points for safety in this Elite Eight matchup.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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