San Diego State vs Alabama Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/24/23

Alabama Crimson Tide (31-5) vs San Diego State Aztecs (29-6)

Game Info: Friday, March 24, 2023 at 6:30 pm (KFC Yum! Center)

Betting Odds: Alabama Crimson Tide -7.5 -- Over/Under: 137 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Alabama Crimson Tide will play the San Diego State Aztecs in the Sweet Sixteen on Friday night at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky.

Alabama Preview

The Alabama Crimson Tide are 31-5 (16-2) this season after they defeated Maryland by a score of 73-51 in their last game. Alabama shot 39.7% from the field and was +12 in rebounding margin in the win. The Alabama Crimson Tide are averaging 82.3 points per game, 68.2 points against per game, 15.1 assists per game, and 44.4 rebounds per game. Brandon Miller has led the Crimson Tide this season with 19.1 points per game, 8.2 rebounds per game, and 2.0 assists per game. Alabama is shooting 44.6% from the field, 72.6% on free throws, and 33.8% on three pointers this year. 

San Diego State Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs are 29-6 (15-3) this season after they defeated Furman by a score of 75-52 in their last game. San Diego State shot 50% from the field and was +17 in rebounding margin in the victory. The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 71.9 points per game, 63.1 points against per game, 36 rebounds per game, and 13.5 assists per game. Matt Bradley has led the Aztecs this season with 13 points per game, 3.9 rebounds per game, and 2.1 assists per game. San Diego State is shooting 44.4% from the field, 73.2% on free throws, and 35.3% on three pointers this year. 

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Trends

San Diego State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Friday games. The under is 14-3 in San Diego State’s last 17 games. Alabama is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. The under is 5-1 in Alabama’s last 6 games. 

Pick

Alabama comes into this game as one of the best teams in the country and is scoring 82.3 points per game, but will face a San Diego State defense that is allowing 54.5 points against per game. San Diego State has had a pair of nice wins over Charleston and Furman, while Alabama handled Maryland in their last game. Alabama has also been very strong on defense this season and I don’t see San Diego State being able to score enough here. I like Alabama to pull away in the second half. 

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David’s Pick Alabama -7.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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