Arkansas vs UConn Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/23/23

Connecticut Huskies (27-8) vs Arkansas Razorbacks (22-13)

Game Info: Thursday, March 23, 2023 at 7:15 pm (T-Mobile Arena)

Betting Odds: Connecticut Huskies -4 -- Over/Under: 140 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Connecticut Huskies and the Arkansas Razorbacks will meet in the Sweet Sixteen of the West Region in Las Vegas at the T-Mobile Arena on CBS. UConn leads the head-to-head, 3-1, but Arkansas won the latest meeting back in 2017 by a massive margin, 102-67.

Arkansas Betting Preview

Arkansas comes in at 22-13 after defeating Kansas in the round of 32. The Razorbacks used an intense second half to rally back and beat the Jayhawks by one, 72-71. Arkansas scores 74.3 points per game, while allowing 67.0 ppg, and shooting 47% from the field.

Arkansas appears to be turning the corner at the absolute best time, and they’ll look to advance to their third straight Elite 8 this Thursday. Ricky Council IV has played big at the tournament, and after following up a double-double in the win over Illinois with 21 points against KU, he leads the Hogs in scoring (16.1). Veteran guard Davonte Davis scored a game-high 25 points versus Kansas, and he’s now up to 11.1 ppg and 4.4 rpg. Freshman guards Anthony Black and Nick Smith Jr. have also come alive late, with the former posting a nice line of 12.6 ppg, 5.1 rpg, and 4.0 apg.

Connecticut Betting Preview

Connecticut comes in at 27-8 after defeating Saint Mary’s in the round of 32. The Huskies bullied the Gaels in the second half, and advanced with a 15-point victory, 70-55. UConn is scoring 78.5 points per game, while allowing 59.0 ppg and shooting 46.3% from the floor.

UConn has really bucked down since the start of February, and they’ll look to remain one of the final blue bloods standing when the smoke clears here. Junior Adama Sanogo followed a 28-point double-double versus Iona with a game-high 24 points in the win over Saint Mary’s, and he leads the team in scoring (17.3) and rebounding (7.5). Sophomore guard Jordan Hawkins went for 24 points in the season finale win over Villanova, and he’s second on the team in scoring at 15.9 ppg. Veteran Swiss Army knife Andre Jackson Jr. is posting well-rounded averages of 6.8 ppg, 6.3 rpg, and 4.4 apg.

Arkansas vs UConn Trends

Arkansas is 18-16-1 against the spread this season, with a 14-20-1 over/under record. UConn is 23-11-1 ATS this year, with a 19-16 o/u record. The Under is 5-0 in the Hogs last 5 NCAA Tournament games. The Under is 5-1 in the Huskies last 6 overall.

Corey's Free Pick

Arkansas’ play during this late season stretch has mirrored UConn’s dark horse run with Shabazz Napier, and this is a contest they can steal as underdogs. The Hogs have the key element to success in March, and that’s guard play. Devonte Davis and Ricky Council IV put the team on their backs in the win over Kansas, and they hold the same backcourt advantage here against Connecticut. If the Razorbacks can neutralize Adama Sanogo’s effect on the game, the same way they did with the Jayhawks' length, they will fight once against as underdogs. Trust Eric Musselman’s success at the Dance, and spot Arkansas the points for this Sweet 16 matchup. The Under will be in play as well, with both teams capable of defending at a high rate.

Corey’s Pick Arkansas +4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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