Sam Houston State vs North Texas Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/19/23

North Texas Mean Green (27-7) vs Sam Houston State Bearkats (26-7)

Game Info: Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 4:00 pm (The Super Pit)

Betting Odds: North Texas Mean Green -5.5 -- Over/Under: 118.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Sam Houston State Bearkats will make the three-hour trip up to Denton to face the North Texas Mean Green in the second round of the NIT from The Super Pit on ESPN+. Sam Houston and North Texas were once conference foes in the Southland, and UNT leads the all-time series, 18-9, after a 10-point non-conference victory over SHSU last season. 

Sam Houston State Betting Preview

Sam Houston State is 26-7 after defeating Santa Clara in the Bay in round one. The Bearkats traveled and made the Broncos play their way, and they’d sneak away with a two-point victory, 58-56. SHSU is scoring 77.3 points per game, while allowing 73.0 ppg, and shooting 45.6% from the floor.

Sam Houston slowed Santa Clara down in round one, but they’ll now face a school that not only shares the same state, but the same style of play and grit. Senior guard Qua Grant scored a team-high 21 points in the win over SCU, and he leads the Bearkats in scoring (14.2) and assists (4.1). Senior guard Donte Powers scored a game-high 21 points in the quarterfinal win over Cal Baptist, and he’s second on the team at 11.1 ppg. 

North Texas Betting Preview

North Texas comes in at 27-7 after defeating Alcorn State in Denton in round one. The Mean Green pulled away from the Braves with a strong second half to win by sixteen, 69-53. UNT is scoring 70.4 points per game, while allowing 67.8 ppg, and shooting 45.5% from the floor.

North Texas got back to their winning ways by eliminating Alcorn State, and they’ll look to improve to 6-1 against in-state foes here Sunday with Sam Houston. North Texas represents one of the best defenses in the nation, and they’re led by Tylor Perry offensively. The senior guard scored a game-high 21 points in the win over Alcorn, and he leads UNT in scoring (16.9). Fellow senior Kai Huntsberry joins him in the backcourt, and he’s second on the team at 12.1 ppg. Sophomore swingman Aaron Scott grabbed 13 rebounds against UAB, and he’s averaging 6.9 ppg and 5.6 rpg.

Sam Houston State vs North Texas Trends

Sam Houston is 18-10-1 against the spread this season, with a 12-17 over/under record. North Texas is 18-14 ATS this year, with a 15-16-1 o/u record.

Corey's Free Pick

I do believe North Texas holds the fort on their home floor, but gosh this total is embarrassingly low. It has the makings of a slugfest considering the stingiest on both sides defensively, and while I’d love to buy into the low-scoring affair, that number is puzzling. North Texas has been pretty strong on their home floor, and they should be able to dictate this contest, and ultimately advance. Roll with the Mean Green to cover here Sunday.

Corey’s Pick North Texas -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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