Auburn vs Houston Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/18/23

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The Houston Cougars will play the Auburn Tigers in the second round of the NCAA Tournament in the Midwest Region on Saturday night at Legacy Arena in Birmingham, Alabama.

Houston Preview

The Houston Cougars are 32-3 (17-1) this season after they defeated Northern Kentucky by a score of 63-52 in their last game. Houston shot 49% from the field and was +9 in rebounding margin in the win. The Houston Cougars are averaging 74.7 points per game, 56.4 points against per game, 38.9 rebounds per game, and 14.8 assists per game. Marcus Sasser (questionable) has led the Cougars this season with 16.7 points per game, 2.8 rebounds per game, and 3.1 assists per game. Houston is shooting 46.2% from the field, 71.9% on free throws, and 34.5% on three pointers this year. 

Auburn Preview

The Auburn Tigers are 21-12 (10-8) this season after they defeated Iowa by a score of 83-75 in their last game. Auburn shot 46% from the field and made 8 three pointers in the win. The Auburn Tigers are averaging 73 points per game, 67.3 points against per game, 36.3 rebounds per game, and 14.2 assists per game,. Johni Broome has led the Tigers this season with 14.2 points per game, 8.5 rebounds per game, and 2.4 blocks per game. Auburn is shooting 44.1% from the field, 70.2% on free throws, and 31.4% on three pointers this year. 

Trends

Auburn is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in Auburn’s last 4 games. Houston is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. The under is 4-1 in Houston’s last 5 games. 

Pick

The key to this game is going to be health of Marcus Sasser, as Houston will be in trouble if he cannot play. Auburn shot the ball very well against Iowa in their last game and if they can continue that, they are going to be very hard to beat. Houston struggled to put away Northern Kentucky and I think they are going to have more issues here. I like Auburn with the points in this game, but if Sasser doesn’t play, I like the Tigers to win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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