Utah State vs Missouri Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/16/23

Missouri Tigers (24-9) vs Utah State Aggies (26-8)

Game Info: Thursday, March 16, 2023 at 1:40 pm (Golden 1 Center)

Betting Odds: Missouri Tigers +1.5 -- Over/Under: 155.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Missouri Tigers will play the Utah State Aggies in the first round of the NCAA Tournament in the South Region at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California.

Missouri Preview

The Missouri Tigers are 24-9 (11-7) this season after they lost to Alabama by a score of 72-61 in the Semifinals of the SEC Tournament. Missouri played very well to close out the season, winning five of their last six games. The Missouri Tigers are averaging 79.5 points per game, 74.6 points against per game, 30.3 rebounds per game, and 16.2 assists per game. Kobe Brown has led the Tigers this season with 15.8 points per game, 6.3 rebounds per game, and 2.5 assists per game. Missouri is shooting 47.3% from the field, 75.8% on free throws, and 36.1% on three pointers this year. 

Utah State Preview

The Utah State Aggies are 26-8 (13-5) this season after they lost to San Diego State by a score of 62-57 in the Championship Game of the Mountain West Tournament. Utah State also finished the season playing very well and has won seven of their last eight games. The Utah State Aggies are averaging 78.6 points per game, 69.7 points against per game, 35.6 rebounds per game, and 16.9 assists per game. Steven Ashworth has led the Aggies this season with 16.3 points per game, 4.5 assists per game, and 3.2 rebounds per game. Utah State is shooting 48% from the field, 76.4% on free throws, and 39.3% on three pointers this year. 

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Trends

Utah State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games. The under is 7-2 in Utah State’s last 9 NCAA Tournament games. Missouri is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. The over is 8-2 in Missouri’s last 10 neutral site games. 

Pick

This should be a very exciting game to watch, as both teams can score a ton of points and play very little defense. Both of these teams finished the season playing well, so each side will have plenty of momentum heading into this matchup. Utah State is one of the better three point shooting teams in the country and should be able to find open looks against this Missouri defense. I know Utah State is a popular pick and they are favored here, but I like Missouri. Missouri played in the much better conference and was able to stick with Alabama for most of their last game. Take the Tigers here. 

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David’s Pick Missouri +1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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