Penn State vs Texas A&M Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/16/23

Texas A&M Aggies (25-9) vs Penn State Nittany Lions (22-13)

Game Info: Thursday, March 16, 2023 at 9:55 pm (Wells Fargo Arena)

Betting Odds: Texas A&M Aggies -2.5 -- Over/Under: 133.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Penn State Nittany Lions and the Texas A&M Aggies will meet in the first round of the Midwest Region in Des Moines at the Wells Fargo Arena on TBS. Texas A&M leads the head-to-head series, 4-0, after defeating Penn State in Brooklyn back in November of 2017,

Penn State Betting Preview

Penn State moved to 22-13 after losing to Purdue in the Big Ten Championship. The Nittany Lions fought back after the break and nearly upset the Boilermakers before falling by two points, 67-65. Penn State is scoring 72.4 points per game, while allowing 67.4 ppg, and shooting 46.3% from the field.

Penn State caught fire and won eight of their final ten games to rightfully earn a spot in the field of 64, and they’ll look to eliminate the Aggies here. Penn State plays through the veteran trio of Jalen Pickett, Seth Lundy, and Andrew Funk. Pickett scored 28 points in the semifinal win over Indiana, and he’s posting a strong line of 17.9 ppg, 7.3 rpg, and 6.9 apg. Lundy leads the team in rebounding (6.3), while scoring 14.4 ppg. Funk scored 20 points in the second round win over Illinois, and he’s third on the team at 12.1 ppg.

Texas A&M Betting Preview

Texas A&M dropped to 25-9 after losing to Alabama in the SEC Championship. The Aggies trailed the Tide by double figures at the break, and ended up losing by nineteen, 82-63. Texas A&M is scoring 74.1 points per game, while allowing 65.9 ppg, and shooting 44.3% from the floor.

Texas A&M flipped their fortunes on the court and performed as one of the best teams in the SEC this year after nearly stealing both the regular season and conference championships. Sophomore guard Wade Taylor IV scored 25 points in the semifinal win over Vandy, and he leads A&M in scoring (16.5) and assists (4.1). Senior guard Tyrece Radford scored 21 points in the season finale win over Alabama, and he’s second on the team at 13.2 ppg. Junior forward Henry Coleman III double-doubled in the quarterfinal win over Arkansas, and he leads the Aggies in rebounding (5.7), while scoring 9.2 ppg.

Penn State vs Texas A&M Trends

Penn State is 20-13-2 against the spread this season, with a 20-14-1 over/under record. Texas A&M is 23-11 ATS this year, with a 16-18 o/u record.

Corey's Free Pick

Both schools closed the season on very strong notes with dark horse runs to their respective conference championships, and this should be a very good contest to close the Thursday slate. I like the physical advantage Texas A&M will carry into this game, and if they’re able to neutralize Jalen Pickett’s effect on this game, they can win this game comfortably. Trust Texas A&M’s second half momentum versus Penn State's late season stretch here in this contest, and take their spread for this first round matchup. 

Corey’s Pick Texas A&M -2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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