Nevada vs Arizona State Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/15/23

Arizona State Sun Devils (22-12) vs Nevada Wolf Pack (22-10)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 15, 2023 at 9:10 pm (University of Dayton Arena)

Betting Odds: Arizona State Sun Devils -2 -- Over/Under: 134 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Nevada Wolf Pack and the Arizona State Sun Devils meet face off in the West Region’s First Four matchup from the UD Arena on truTV. Arizona State leads the head-to-head series, 2-1, but Nevada won the latest meeting back in 2018. 

Nevada Betting Preview

Nevada moved to 22-10 after losing to San Jose State in the MWC Quarterfinals. The Wolf Pack forced overtime, but the Spartans would sneak away and hand them a four-point loss, 81-77. Nevada is scoring 72.6 points per game, while allowing 66.5 ppg, and shooting 44.4% from the floor.

Nevada comes into this First Four contest losers of their last three games, but they’re worthy of this spot about being competitive throughout conference play.  Senior guard Jarod Lucas was one of the best players in the MWC this season, and after scoring 28 points against SJSU, he leads Nevada in scoring (17.3). Fellow veteran guard Kenan Blackshear is second on the team at 14.4 ppg, while dishing out a team-lead 4.6 apg. Junior center Will Baker (13.5 ppg, 5.1 rpg) and freshman forward Darrion Williams (7.6 ppg, 7.3 rpg) start up in the frontcourt.

Arizona State Betting Preview

Arizona State moved to 22-12 after losing to Arizona in the Pac-12 semifinals. The Sun Devils couldn’t handle the Wildcats’ size, and they’d fall by nineteen, 78-59. ASU scores 70.3 points per game, while allowing 66.6 ppg, and shooting 41.3% from the floor.

Arizona State picked up a pair of wins at the Pac-12 tournament to earn this bid, and they’ll look to qualify for the Dance here. Fifth-year guard Desmond Cambridge Jr. scored a game-high 27 points in the quarterfinal win over USC, and he leads ASU in scoring (13.7). Junior guard DJ Horne starts alongside him in the backcourt, and he’s second on the team at 12.1 ppg. Senior forward Warren Washington leads the Sun Devils in rebounding (6.9), while scoring 9.2 ppg. 

Nevada vs Arizona State Trends

Nevada is 18-11-2 against the spread this season, with a 18-13 over/under record. Arizona State is 15-19 ATS this year, with a 17-17 o/u record. The Wolf Pack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Corey's Free Pick

Arizona State started to put it together down the stretch, while Nevada dropped their last three games, and I could see those trends continuing here. The Wolf Pack have tailed off towards the end of the season, and the status of Will Baker will be huge for this one after leaving the quarterfinal matchup, as his lack of size will hurt them against a physical ASU team. The Sun Devils represent a battle-tested group, and I like them advancing here.

Corey’s Pick Arizona State -2

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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