Toledo vs Michigan Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/14/23

Michigan Wolverines (17-15) vs Toledo Rockets (27-7)

Game Info: Tuesday, March 14, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Crisler Center)

Betting Odds: Michigan Wolverines -6.5 -- Over/Under: 161.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Michigan Wolverines will play the Toledo Rockets in the first round of the NIT on Tuesday night at the Crisler Center in Ann Arbor, Michigan.

Michigan Preview

The Michigan Wolverines are 17-15 (11-9) this season after they lost to Rutgers by a score of 62-50 in the second round of the Big Ten Tournament. Michigan was making a push to make the NCAA Tournament, but they lost their last three games, including two in overtime. The Michigan Wolverines are averaging 73.1 points per game, 69.4 points against per game, 36.6 rebounds per game, and 12.2 assists per game. Hunter Dickinson has led the Wolverines this season with 18.4 points per game, 9.0 rebounds per game, and 1.8 blocks per game. Michigan is shooting 44.7% from the field, 70.3% on free throws, and 34.6% on three pointers this year. 

Toledo Preview

The Toledo Rockets are 27-7 (16-2) this season after they lost to Kent State by a score of 93-78 in their last game. Toledo finished first in the MAC in the regular season and won 17 of their last 18 games. The Toledo Rockets are averaging 85.6 points per game, 76.5 points against per game, 34.2 rebounds per game, and 14.9 assists per game. RayJ Dennis has led the Rockets this season with 19.7 points per game, 5.7 assists per game, and 4.4 rebounds per game. Toledo is shooting 49.6% from the field, 77.3% on free throws, and 39.7% on three pointers this year. 


Toledo is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and 25-9 ATS in their last 34 Tuesday games. The over is 5-1 in Toledo’s last 6 games. Michigan is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. The over is 5-2 in Michigan’s last 7 home games. 


Michigan was one of the more disappointing teams in the country this season and we have to wonder how motivated the Wolverines will be after looking completely flat against Rutgers. Toledo was one game away from the NCAA Tournament and had 27 wins during the regular season, which is a great accomplishment for them. Toledo is a very high scoring team, but doesn’t play a ton of defense, which is going to be a problem against a Michigan team that can also score. I like the over here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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