Dayton vs VCU Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/12/23

VCU Rams (26-7) vs Dayton Flyers (22-11)

Game Info: Sunday, March 12, 2023 at 1:00 pm (Barclays Center)

Betting Odds: VCU Rams -1.5 -- Over/Under: 124.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The VCU Rams will play the Dayton Flyers in the Championship Game of the A-10 Tournament on Sunday afternoon at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York.

VCU Preview

The VCU Rams are 26-7 (15-3) this season after they defeated Saint Louis by a score of 90-78 in their last game. VCU shot 55.7% from the field and made 9 three pointers in the win. The VCU Rams are averaging 71 points per game, 62.7 points against per game, 33.2 rebounds per game, and 12.9 assists per game. Adrian Baldwin Jr. has led the Rams this season with 12.6 points per game, 5.8 assists per game, and 2.9 rebounds per game. VCU is shooting 46.2% from the field, 70.3% on free throws, and 33.9% on three pointers this year. 

Dayton Preview

The Dayton Flyers are 22-11 (12-6) this season after they defeated Fordham by a score of 78-68 in their last game. Dayton shot 60.4% from the field and was +4 in rebounding margin in the win. The Dayton Flyers are averaging 68.8 points per game, 60.6 points against per game, 36.1 rebounds per game, and 15.3 assists per game. DaRon Holmes II has led the Flyers this season with 18 points per game, 7.9 rebounds per game, and 1.8 blocks per game. Dayton is shooting 46.8% from the field, 69.1% on free throws, and 34.7% on three pointers this year. 


Dayton is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. The under is 8-2 in Dayton’s last 10 games. VCU is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. The under is 9-4 in VCU’s last 13 games. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in these two teams last 4 head to head meetings. 


Dayton comes into this game after winning seven of their last nine games, but they have played inconsistently this season. VCU has won eight games in a row, but their last loss did come against Dayton at home. Both teams are very good on the defensive end of the court, so I expect a slow paced and low scoring game here. It is tough to know which Dayton team will show up for this matchup, so I am going to take the Rams here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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