Fordham vs Dayton Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/11/23

Dayton Flyers (21-11) vs Fordham Rams (25-7)

Game Info: Saturday, March 11, 2023 at 3:30 pm (Barclays Center)

Betting Odds: Dayton Flyers -5.5 -- Over/Under: 130.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Dayton Flyers will play the Fordham Rams in the Semifinals of the A-10 Tournament on Saturday afternoon at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York.

Dayton Preview

The Dayton Flyers are 21-11 (12-6) this season after they defeated St. Joe’s by a score of 60-54 in their last game. Dayton shot 35.7% from the field and was +8 in rebounding margin in the win. The Dayton Flyers are averaging 68.8 points per game, 60.6 points against per game, 36.1 rebounds per game, and 15.3 assists per game. DaRon Holmes II has led the Flyers this season with 18 points per game, 7.9 rebounds per game, and 1.8 blocks per game. Dayton is shooting 46.8% from the field, 69.1% on free throws, and 34.7% on three pointers this year. 

Fordham Preview

The Fordham Rams are 25-7 (12-6) this season after they defeated La Salle by a score of 69-61 in their last game. Fordham shot 46.4% from the field and was +6 in rebounding margin in the win. The Fordham Rams are averaging 72.1 points per game, 67.3 points against per game, 37.2 rebounds per game, and 12.7 assists per game. Darius Quisenberry has led the Rams this season with 17.2 points per game, 3.9 rebounds per game, and 3.1 assists per game. Fordham is shooting 41.8% from the field, 74.1% on free throws, and 31.8% on three pointers this year.

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Trends

Fordham is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. The over is 6-2 in Fordham’s last 8 games. Dayton is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The under is 8-1 in Dayton’s last 9 games and the over is 12-5 in their last 17 neutral site games. The favorite is 9-4 ATS in these two teams last 13 head to head meetings. 

Pick

These two teams finished tied for second in the A-10 standings this season with conference records of 12-6. Fordham has won four of their last five games, while Dayton has won six of their last eight. Dayton did win the lone meeting with Fordham this year by a score of 82-58. Fordham is only shooting 41.8% from the field and will be facing a Dayton defense that is only allowing 60.6 points against per game. I like the under in this matchup.

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David’s Pick Under 130.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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