Virginia vs North Carolina Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/9/23

North Carolina Tar Heels (19-12) vs Virginia Cavaliers (23-6)

Game Info: Thursday, March 9, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Greensboro Coliseum)

Betting Odds: North Carolina Tar Heels +1 -- Over/Under: 129 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The North Carolina Tar Heels will play the Virginia Cavaliers in the Quarterfinals of the ACC Tournament on Thursday night at the Greensboro Coliseum in Greensboro, North Carolina.

North Carolina Preview

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 20-12 (11-9) this season after they defeated Boston College by a score of 85-61 in their last game. North Carolina shot 54.8% from the field and made 10 three pointers in the win. The North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 76.5 points per game, 71.3 points against per game, 39.9 rebounds per game, and 11.9 assists per game. Caleb Love has led the Tar Heels this season with 16.7 points per game, 3.7 rebounds per game, and 2.8 assists per game. North Carolina is shooting 43.2% from the field, 74.3% on free throws, and 30.9% on three pointers this year. 

Virginia Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers are 23-6 (15-5) this season after they defeated Louisville by a score of 75-60 in their last game. Virginia shot 58% from the field and forced 12 turnovers in the win. The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 68.2 points per game, 60.5 points against per game, 32 rebounds per game, and 16.1 assists per game. Armaan Franklin has led the Cavaliers this season with 12.6 points per game, 4.2 rebounds per game, and 1.4 assists per game. Virginia is shooting 45% from the field, 70% on free throws, and 35.9% on three pointers this year. 

Trends

North Carolina is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The under is 12-4 in North Carolina’s last 16 games. Virginia is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. The under is 6-1 in Virginia’s last 7 neutral site games. The favorite is 16-5 ATS in these two teams last 21 head to head meetings. 

Pick

These two teams met a couple of weeks ago, with North Carolina winning on their home court by a score of 71-63. North Carolina has won four of their last five games and they are fighting to get into the NCAA Tournament, while Virginia has won two games in a row and finished tied for first place in the ACC. One big thing to keep an eye on is the availability of Armando Bacot, who was injured on Wednesday. If Bacot was 100%, I would take UNC in this game, but I think he is going to be severely limited by that ankle injury. I will take Virginia here. 

David’s Pick Virginia -1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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