Boise State vs UNLV Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/9/23

UNLV Rebels (19-12) vs Boise State Broncos (23-8)

Game Info: Thursday, March 9, 2023 at 9:00 pm (Thomas & Mack Center)

Betting Odds: UNLV Rebels +5.5 -- Over/Under: 137.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The UNLV Rebels will play the Boise State Broncos in the Quarterfinals of the Mountain West Tournament on Thursday night at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, Nevada.

UNLV Preview

The UNLV Rebels are 19-12 (7-11) this season after they defeated Air Force in overtime by a score of 78-70 in their last game. UNLV held Air Force to 22 points in the first half, but allowed them to score 35 points in the second half to force overtime. UNLV shot 42.4% from the field and made 9 three pointers in the win. The Rebels recorded 36 rebounds and forced 17 turnovers in the win. The UNLV Rebels are averaging 74.1 points per game, 69.5 points against per game, 33.3 rebounds per game, and 12.7 assists per game. EJ Harkless has led the Rebels this season with 18.6 points per game, 5.0 rebounds per game, and 3.2 assists per game. UNLV is shooting 43.2% from the field, 72.5% on free throws, and 34.4% on three pointers this year.

Boise State Preview

The Boise State Broncos are 23-8 (13-5) this season after they lost to Utah State by a score of 86-73 in their last game. Boise State trailed by 14 points at halftime and couldn’t really make it a game in the second half. Boise State shot 44.6% from the field and went 16-19 on free throws in the win. The Broncos recorded 29 rebounds and only turned the ball over nine times in the game. The Boise State Broncos are averaging 72.1 points per game, 63.7 points against per game, 35.7 rebounds per game, and 11.1 assists per game. Max Rice has led the Broncos this season with 14.4 points per game, 4.7 rebounds per game, and 1.7 assists per game. Boise State is shooting 45.5% from the field, 74% on free throws, and 36.2% on three pointers this year.

Trends

UNLV is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The over is 8-3 in UNLV’s last 11 neutral site games. Boise State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games. The over is 13-5 in Boise State’s last 18 games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in these two teams last 5 head to head meetings. 

Pick

Boise State had a very good regular season and finished tied for 2nd in the Mountain West, but they did lose two of their last three games. UNLV has won three of their last four games, with their last two wins coming in overtime. Boise State is only allowing 63.7 points against per game this year and they are the better shooting team. I think this will be a close game early, but I like Boise State to pull away. 

David’s Pick Boise State -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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