Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt Prediction - Basketball Picks 3/4/23

Vanderbilt Commodores (17-13) vs Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-10)

Game Info: Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 8:30 pm (Memorial Gym)

Betting Odds: Vanderbilt Commodores +2.5 -- Over/Under: 134.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Mississippi State Bulldogs will play the Vanderbilt Commodores in a SEC game on Saturday night at Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville, Tennessee.

Mississippi State Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 20-10 (8-9) this season after they defeated South Carolina by a score of 74-68 in their last game. Mississippi State shot 50% from the field and forced 14 turnovers in the win. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 66.2 points per game, 59.9 points against per game, 36.9 rebounds per game, and 14.6 assists per game. Tolu Smith has led the Bulldogs this season with 15 points per game, 8.2 rebounds per game, and 1.8 assists per game. Mississippi State is shooting 42.7% from the field, 64.8% on free throws, and 27.4% on three pointers this year.

Vanderbilt Preview

The Vanderbilt Commodores are 17-13 (10-7) this season after they defeated Kentucky by a score of 68-66 in their last game. Vanderbilt shot 40.3% from the field and was -13 in rebounding margin in the win. The Vanderbilt Commodores are averaging 71.9 points per game, 71.7 points against per game, 37.2 rebounds per game, and 11.9 assists per game. Liam Robbins (questionable) has led the Commodores this season with 15 points per game, 6.8 rebounds per game, and 3.2 blocks per game. Vanderbilt is shooting 42.1% from the field, 71% on free throws, and 33.6% on three pointers this year.

Trends

Mississippi State is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. The over is 5-1 in Mississippi State’s last 6 games. Vanderbilt is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and 21-7 ATS in their last 28 Saturday games. The over is 6-2 in Vanderbilt’s last 8 Saturday games. The road team is 5-1 ATS in these two teams last 6 head to head meetings.

Pick

Vanderbilt has been playing very well lately and has won seven of their last eight games. Mississippi State has won three of their last four games, but they are a different team on the road. Mississippi State is only allowing 59.9 points against per game this year and both teams are shooting 42% from the field. I like the under in this matchup.

David’s Pick Under 134.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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